George Groves vs Callum Smith

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George Groves vs Callum Smith

Awesome that this fight is happening!
If an injury happens, it happens, it is life, it is one of those things, and it isn't ideal to have delays, for more reasons than some people realise, it unavoidably affects the setup and structure of a tournament when the most important fight in the competition is in jeopardy, but it would be a crying shame if the these issues were enough to ruin what has been built by the previous stages of the tournament. The truth is, I think, that if two finalists, who have both earned the opportunity to be in the final, don't fight, and a postponement turns into a cancellation, there is and was no point in even having a tournament, the purpose is defeated, and the whole thing becomes a waste of time, basically. It is good that the delay from Groves's injury hasn't nullified the fight, it is a great, great match up, boxing fans have wanted to see Groves vs Smith for years, it might be the most popular fight at 168, definitely is within the UK fanbase, they both won in the quarterfinals, they both won in the semifinals, they want to fight each other, this fight is important, so let's appreciate the fact that we are going to see it afterall.

I think this is a very interesting, intriguing fight, there are different ways of looking at it, you can easily see why both guys can win, and because of the magnitude of this fight, and based on what we've seen from them in the past, we know these are two technically skilled, dangerous, very entertaining fighters. I think this could be a real 50/50 fight.

Callum Smith, for years, has been considered, in the UK, to be one of the biggest boxing talents in Britain, maybe even potentially a serious, top, world level contender, he has alawys been considered more talented than his 3 older brothers, who have all fought for world titles (one has been a world champion), and it has always looked likely he is the best of the 4 of them, part of it may be because he is the youngest and was the best guided and best taught as a kid, maybe it is about raw talent, or maybe a combination of both, but he has always been considered very good, and a future world champion, virtually guaranteed.
Smith has some good wins, Rocky Fielding, Erik Skoglund, he has impressed, been dominant at a certain level, he has made some big statements, the Fielding win was explosive, and not just the win but the way he won, was evidence of a fighter with exceptional talent, but in terms of his proving his talent, achieving what so many people believe he can and hope he will achieve, it seems like he has been delayed, and his career hasn't really taken off yet, not at world level. I believe Smith is not commended enough for the Skoglund victory, and that is because, Skoglund, as well as Smith, was unbeaten, underrated, had no name at world level, I think he proved a lot that night, when a fighter might be behind after 7 rounds, blood pouring from his nose, being hit with a lot of hurtful punches, suffering adversity, can be when a fighter's adaptability is really tested, and Smith dug deep, pulled away, and dominated the fight from 8-11, scored a knockdown, won by UD, and wide.
Aside from the Skoglund victory, I don't think Smith has ever really fought a really good, world level fighter, and now, at 28, 24-0, he is definitely ready, it is crunch time now, the waiting, for Smith, and all his supporters, has gone on long enough, he needs a world title fight, and a big, high profile, meaningful fight.

George Groves is some fighter, he has had a tough, rollacosta career, he is very well known in boxing, for the ups, the downs, and the drama he has brought to the sport. People thought Groves was overrated, not as good as he looked in the first Froch fight, after he lost to Badou Jack, it was a split decision, but not at all controversial, and not a very disputed decision amongst the media and public. It is admirable, the way Groves got his act together, hired a trainer he had a really good working relationship with, started a new chapter in 2016, won fight after fight, looked better than he ever had, and after 4 straight wins, finally, after all he had been through, after the controversial stoppage loss, the devastating, explosive knockout loss, the split decision defeat, the notion of being 'a nearly man', he did it, against an extremely tough, motivated, awkward opponent, he became a world champion, in 2017.
Groves has really improved his reputation recently, not built it, if anything gets you well known, it is boxing in front of 80,000 fans, but his reputation has improved, actually becoming a world champion, not being a nearly man anymore, he wasn't a big underdog against Eubank, but he was a slight underdog, and that win, that victory, although it might not be his best win, there was something about that win for Groves, it might be the best we've ever seem him box, he looked a class above Eubank, put him in his place, he nullified him, it wasn't a boxing lesson, it wasn't an outright one sided fight, but Groves clearly won the fight by establishing his jab, establishing himself as the counter puncher, and knowing how to make the fight slightly ugly, using his size, messing Groves around, and still keep it a predominantly clean fight, that is the sign of a veteran fighter. It has become hard to use Groves's losses as a criticism, or a reason not to consider him a really good, world level fighter, because he had success in all his losses, and with wins over James DeGale, Fedor Chudinov, Chris Eubank Jr, his legacy looks fine, he gave Carl Froch really difficult fights, dropped him, no shame in losing to Badou Jack.
A lot of people, who are impressed Groves beat Eubank, might think he has achieved so much, that he could retire and still have made the most of his potential, but Groves won't see it that way, I think the Eubank win will have motivated him even more, to accomplish even more, I don't think he ever stopped believing he was capable of beating Carl Froch, and I don't think he will even consider he has met his match, I think we will see a very motivated Groves in this fight, the difference is, between now, and a year ago, is that before he fought Chudinov, there had to be some desperation, a certain type of pressure, that isn't there now, because in terms of his level of competition, world level success, you only have to look at how well he did in his losses, and now, he is a world champion (and not too brief, a champion who has defended, twice), but now, I think although his career is probably near the end (I think he should and might retire after this fight), he will be inspired, very motivated to win this fight.

I think Smith needs this more than Groves, there is more pressure on him, he has proven less in his career, whether that will hurt Smith's chances, and turn into desperation which Groves will exploit, or whether Groves will end up in there against a fighter who wants the win more than he does.

Smith is two years younger than Groves, I think he is definitely the fresher fighter, he is bigger, about 8 or 9 centimetres taller I think, he's physically stronger. I think Smith has great stamina, we've seen him do 12 rounds, many times, I've not seen him struggle for pace down the stretch. I don't think Groves has stamina issues, I think the reason he used to tire after 6 rounds or so, was because of the excessive amount of punches he used to through, his wasteful tenancies of putting so much into predictable right hands, sapped so much out of him, it was more a mental issue for him, but since he's been training with McGuigan, he's used the jab, used his right hand, behind a working jab, within the game plan, and without being unwise, against Murray, Eubank, in rounds 11 and 12 against Murray, in rounds 10 and 11 against Eubank, he might have had his best rounds, so he has 12 decent rounds in the tank, but he still may tire against a fighter who can make him work at a pace he doesn't intend to work at, can control the tempo, because Groves will never have a great gas tank, not relative to some fighters who just seem to thrive with the 12 round distance.

I think speed lies with Groves, in hand and in foot. I think in terms of who has the faster, more precise, better educated jab, it is Groves, 100%. For world level experience, we know Groves is better prepared than Smith is, not just because he has had 7 more fights, been in 6 world title fights whilst Smith hasn't been in any yet, but also because of the exact level amongst world title contention he has been at, Carl Froch is one of the best British fighters who ever lived, he is a British boxing legend, and that isn't even being generous.

I think in terms of doing everything right, hitting, not getting hit, sticking to a game plan, Groves beats Smith.

In terms of who can hold up against shots, who has the better chin, there is no comparison, I think Smith is 95-99% impossible to hurt, Groves on the other hand, well not only does he not take a shot well, I would use him as an example whenever talking about world class fighters with heart, dedication, determination, but get hurt when they get hit. In every fight he has, Groves seems to get hurt, at least to a degree, I think a big difference between Groves now, and Groves a few years ago, is that now, he knows exactly what to do when he is hurt, he reacts the right way, doesn't let his opponent follow it up, and it is extremely rare you can stop a guy with one punch, if he is still on his feet after it lands.

-I think Groves is a much better defensive fighter than Smith

-I think outside of the jab, Smith is the better offensive fighter

Both these guys are great defensive attackers, they don't just bulldose forward and attack, they don't just back off and defend, they can inflict damage, hurt the opponent off the back foot.

I think because Smith is not as defensively aware, not as instinctive and on guard a fighter as Groves is, he more viable to walk into a shot, and if he does, of he makes one big mistake, Groves can hurt him, because Groves hits very hard, he might not hit as hard as used to think he did, maybe he wanted specifically to get the knockout, too much, but he is still a naturally powerful, dangerous puncher, he is accurate, and he can set up opponents, in a close, competitive fight, he destroyed Jamie Cox with a lethal body shot.

Danny Garcia vs Shawn Porter

Of all the upcoming fights at the moment, this is the one I'm looking forward to seeing the most, I've mentioned this is a particularly good match, for years, I think the clash of styles is very interesting. It is brilliant that this fight is actually confirmed!

I think Shawn Porter has wanted to fight Danny Garcia for a long time, I'm not sure how long Porter has been at all on Garcia's radar. I don't think Porter has pushed for this fight more than Garcia because Garcia has been avoiding the fight, or because he at all doubts his chances in a fight against him, I think he has been considering himself a class above Porter, and hasn't seen the point in fighting him, hasn't seen any gain from hypothetically beating Porter, but Porter, just wanting to target a rival he has always been very confident he would defeat, and massively help his career by defeating. I think up until recently, it was just that issue of one fighter really not needing the fight, and not seeing the other guy as so much of a threat he would be really motivated, really have to fight at his best, having easier options which are just as good for his career, and the other guy wanting the fight but just getting frustrated, not getting the fight.

It is different now, now that the WBC title is vacant, it isn't about thinking about Garcia and his team finding the smartest way to work back towards a Thurman rematch or a shot at a different title, because now that this is an outright, direct world title fight, Garcia has something to gain from fighting Porter, he has a very good reason to take the fight, it was always going to be unlikely he'd turn down a world title fight against anyone.

I think it is great that these guys get to fight for a world title right away, they deserve to be able to, Garcia has only ever lost a split decision, he is coming off a great performance, good win over former lightweight world champion, Brandon Rios, and Porter, had a good 2017, looked solid in beating Andre Berto, Adrian Granados, that's two wins against good opponents, and against Keith Thurman, he won a good 5 rounds, gave Thurman all he could handle, FOTY candidate, and a strong one, Keith Thurman vs Shawn Porter, and prior to that, Porter, coming off a wide win over former 4 weight world champion Adrien Broner. Neither of these guys deserve to have to go through an eliminator, they deserve to train for a world title fight, now.

I think both these guys are in their absolute primes.

I think mentally, Porter may have a slight edge, in the sense that he might know Garcia as a fighter slightly better than vise verse. I think Porter knows Garcia is great, but has always believed he can beat him, whereas Garcia, I don't know, but I think maybe he struggles to accept that Porter (this seemingly reckless bulldog of a fighter who seems clumsy at times), is on his level, and that it is a fight he can only just about win. Garcia can't go into this fight considering Porter lucky to have the privilege of sharing a ring with him, he has to accept that Porter is a threat, he's better than he wants to think he is, and he will have to being out one of his career best performances to beat him, because if he goes into the fight holding onto the idea that he is levels above Porter, like Haye did against Bellew, like Eubank did against Saunders, like Broner did against Maidana, then that is a terrible mistake, so for his own sake, he cannot overlook Shawn Porter.

I think Garcia is a slight favourite to win the fight, but without doubt, Keith Thurman is the best person to ask about who wins, because he is the only fighter to fight them both. Thurman says he thinks Porter wins, and mentioned that Garcia not having the output is a real problem for him. I think most people are struggling to make a prediction, but I think the majority might be just about leaning towards Garcia.

Porter is physically stronger than Garcia
Porter is faster, in hand,
and foot
Porter has the much better jab
Porter characteristically throws a much, much higher amount of punches than Garcia
I think the better head movement lies with Porter
I think Porter is successful with his offence at a higher variation of distances than Garcia (e.g., Garcia seems to find his range, get his timing going, and land with a quality clean shot, but Porter is so versatile with his offence, he can land on the inside, outisde, sort of mid range, he has got a lot better at not smothering his work on the inside like he used to I think).

Garcia a naturally seriously dangerous puncher, Porter isn't really
Garcia is good counter puncher, Porter isn't
Garcia can box brilliantly going forwards, and going backwards, Porter has a bad history with trying to box on the back foot
I think Garcia is the more adaptable of the two
I think the better blocking abilities lie with Garcia
Garcia punches with the more accuracy, the better quality work with a lead power shot, I think really he is the more classy boxer
I think Garcia is the more selective point scorer, he can lead with a clean uppercut, famous left hook, or cross.

Garcia is 1-2 inches taller than Porter.
Porter has about an inch more reach than Garcia.
6 months between Garcia's last fight and this fight, 9 months between Porter's last fight and this fight, 6 months is a good amount of time, really I think it can be the perfect amount of time between two fights at this level, but 9, not a layoff, not substantial inactivity, but maybe slightly more time than ideal.
Porter has fought twice in the last 16 months before this fight, Garcia, only once.

Porter put Thurman through a far more physically gruelling ordeal than Garcia did, he hit him a lot more, he put him through more pain.
Garcia didn't get hit with nearly as many shots as Porter did, didn't get hit with the Thurman hayemakers that Porter walked into.
In my opinion, Porter and Garcia both won 5 rounds against Thurman, both did well in different ways, but both lost by couple of points.
Most people think Porter did better against Thurman than Garcia, a lot of people had it a draw, and very few had it to Thurman by any more than 2, none of the judges had it wide, whereas one of the judges did have it wide for Thurman against Garcia.
Garcia lost, but only by split decision, Porter made it close, it was a classic fight, but it was still a unanimous decision loss for him.

I think tactics wise, this is very interesting.
A good start is very important for both fighters.

For Porter, he has to be first, he has to initiate the early exchanges, Porter is not a back foot boxer, he is a bulldog, but he is not slow footed, and stationery, not at all, against Berto and Granados, he looked like a puppet on strings, his feet were barely even touching the canvas, he is so nimble and light on his feet, and when he comes forward, he covers the canvas so much more quickly than the opponent expects, he has the unusual combination of extreme physical strength and extreme foot speed and agility. Early, Porter, if he is patient, if he doesn't give Garcia the opening, and he stays on the balls of his feet, in that natural rhythm of almost floating above the floor, constantly dipping in and out of range, and using his speed to feint, keep Garcia occupied, he won't allow Garcia to set himself, and as soon as Garcia begins to commit to anything, as soon as there is an opening, as soon as Garcia is even slightly unaware, Porter needs to dive forwards with whatever shot is necessary, and follow it up with a second, third, fourth, with variety, very quickly, overwhelm and smother Garcia's capability of getting a counter off, by throwing a quick combination, and at close range, so he can overpower Garcia as well and take the authority, and then quickly escape, slip and roll, spin Garcia, pivot, and move off, make Garcia need to chase him, and if Garcia does try to respond with any early urgency, let him, and punish Garcia for opting to exchange with him, by using his footwork, establishing his jab, or throwing a cluster of punches to outdo Garcia's work, because at this early stage, Porter's hand speed, superior jab, and ability to get himself at the range he wants by using his foot speed, should be more effective for him than any of Garcia's attributes.

For Garcia, setting traps is important, patience is good, a counter puncher who fights a guy with speed knows the early rounds will be difficult, but timing will be more important as the rounds go by, but Garcia can't let Porter take the early rounds from him. Garcia cannot make mistakes against Porter, he is a counter puncher, but for a guy who doesn't often use a good working jab or even just a solitary pot shot/point scorer sort of jab, he has to rely on power shot counter punches, cross or hook leads, that requires a lot of patience and awareness early against a guy who is lighter on his feet, and could zoom forward and attack you at any split second. Early, Garcia has to be patient, he has to wait for the first mistake from Porter, he can't work of sheer desire to win the round, he is too flat footed, he doesn't have the early work ethic quailty, the jab, and he has to keep in mind that Porter doesn't steal the round either by not pulling the trigger, so Porter would have to take a chance himself to put something in the bank, nick the round, and if and when Porter does think he can catch Garcia due to a lapse in concentration, a misdirection, pull the trigger, that is when Garcia has to counter, and punch out of range momentarily, and if that spurrs Porter on, Garcia can still keep that momentum, land on the counter with variety as Porter walks forward, and Garcia has (although a low output) a high enough output that he land a good 3 or 4 solid counters over a period of 30 seconds. Garcia can make a great start if his uses the right tactics, and he can implement his game plan better than Porter can, and Garcia, the guy with the genuine power, not just thudding punches, not just without a lack of power, but an actual natural puncher, can do more damage, land the more toll taking punches.

I think after 4 rounds, if Porter is likely behind, it will be tricky, because he will have to take chances, and if you take chances, outside of your game plan, against a guy who can time you, you can make yourself a target.
If Garcia is likely behind after 4 rounds, it will be tricky, because if he has to take more chances, against a guy who has such a high output, and against a physically stronger fighter, he might be making it a sort of fight which will suit the opponent even more.

I think the early rounds are so important for both fighters, but the middle rounds as well, and of course down the stretch, the fight could be in the balance, after 8, 10.

As the fight goes on, because timing is going to be more important than early in the fight, Garcia may be more successful, and he is the puncher, and less likely to be the one walking into a punch, so as they both take more chances, open up, exchange, Garcia could be the one to come on.

As the fight goes on, Porter might benefit from both fighters being more active, having settled down, because if he can charge forward, even if he takes one on the way in, he can pin Garcia down, overpower him, hold on if he needs to, but make it hard for Garcia to breathe, be relelntless, and make it a battle, and if he does this, he can out fight Garcia by out hustling him, being relentless, landing in such a volume, and fighting at his pace, because Garcia simply does not have the punch output to outland Porter in a high tempo brawl, and Porter lands with force, thudding, heavy punches, easily hard enough to take a toll, break down an opponent, so Garcia, in deep waters, in that sort of fight, would have to put Porter down I think, have to really hurt him, and although Garcia has carried a lot of his natural power up to 147 as he has adpated to the weight over the past year or two, Porter has a granite chin, he walks through knockout punches, he soaks it up, he has a naturally durable chin, and Kell Brook, Keith Thurman, hurt Porter a few times when they landed flush as he went forward, but found they couldn't really make any more of it than just hurting him, because not only have his survival knowledge increased a lot over the past couple of years, but his recovery rate is brilliant, and Garcia might be a puncher, but he isn't a bigger puncher than Keith Thurman.

As the fight goes on, as both fighters work harder, they will lose some sharpness from their shots at times, because of the mental energy it takes as well, Porter and Garcia might both have breif sloppy moments, and for Shawn Porter, that might mean taking a short rest moving back, easing off, and if Garcia takes full advantage of Porter back peddling, at all, he is capable of moving forward with a really good counter, he did that against Herrera, Matthysse, very well, and Porter on the back foot, I don't think will be difficult for Garcia to time, counter, and get the better of it when Porter responds.

As the fight goes on, I think Porter's physical strength will be important, so will his output, and I think as the fighters have both gotten well into the fight, they are putting it on the line, Porter could really benefit because he has the combination of being able to overpower his opponent, and throw so many more punches, he could really tire Garcia out if he keeps relentless pressure on him, makes him work hard to move, makes him need to drag punches out of himself, and with Porter now a lot better at stifling his own punches, throwing a lot, and with decent variety, he should land clean plenty of times, and although he isn't a real puncher, his thudding weight of punch and fair amount of power means he can land a lot of energy sapping punches, it really takes it out of you to keep taking strong punches from a fighter with the strength, output of Porter. Against Peterson, Garcia's lack of foot speed was an issue for him, he couldn't do what a lot of fighters at his level can do when they are ahead and wanting the opponent to tire themself out. If Porter fought Floyd Mayweather a few years ago, then I think late in the fight, he would be just a bit behind, he wouldn't be quite quick enough on his feet, often enough, to keep hardcore pressure on Mayweather, and against Thurman, at times, Thurman's mobility was frustrating for Porter, he struggled to pin him down at times, even though Porter has fast feet on the front foot, it is hard to really physically commit yourself to an attack and be at your fastest, feet wise, it is difficult to time your attacks as well, and ultimately, a fighter who is moving around the ring, changing directions at the right time, like a Crawford, Lomachenko, Mayweather, or even Thurman, it is so hard to pin them down, keep them static, and you are forced to invest time trying to find your range, time you want to spend attacking your opponent, but Garcia, doesn't have the foot speed to do that, even in his last fight, sure he landed the more, the cleaner and stronger punches against Rios, was technically more gifted, and th naturally bigger, but he was never able to make Rios chase shadows, fail to get himself in range and usethe ring to frustrate him like Pacquiao and Bradley did against Rios, and Guerrero, he hit Guerrero with the harder, cleaner shots, technically get the best of him, but he couldn't make damage against him what Thurman and Mayweather was able to do which was very important for them to school and dominate Guerrero. In the late rounds, when Porter is relentless, I don't think Garcia will be able to really escape Porter's fighting range.

Tyson Fury vs Sefer Seferi

Well, good to see Fury has not only a fight confirmed but an opponent as well.

For a start, Fury, for the past year, at least from where I'm standing, has been irrelevant to boxing, 2015 was 2015, 2017-18 is/was 2017-18, and based on the timing aspect, the issue of lost years, Fury wasn't to be highly ranked depsite his outstanding win in 2015. It is a different story, now, Fury training, 270 or less, is much more convincing and easier to take seriously than a 350lb+ Fury, doing nothing but eat and do drugs, it shows a good, basic, but important step towards bouncing back from the dark place he has been in, but even then, he wasn't setting himself above the many thousands of professional athletes in the world, most professional athletes are superfit and training, at a variety of levels. Now, he has his licence back, he has a fight date, and opponent, we cannot say Fury is back in the mix just yet, he has a long way to go, but now, he is fighting, his inactive streak will come to an end, and we can talk about as a current fighter, not just a historic fighter who ruled the heavyweight division for a very, very short time.

For opposition, obviously, Fury being 30 months inactive, does not want to rush it, that means not only staying away for Joshua and Wilder, but also Povetkin, Ortiz, and starting at definitely a notch below these sort of fighters.
Whilst Fury shouldn't be rushed, he should also not be wasting any time, because in boxing, you have to make the most out of the time, and suggestions he was considering fighting Raphael Zumbano Love (39 years old, 39-16, has lost 4 of his last 5, his last two, first round KO losses to Filip Hrgovic and Alexander Ustinov), were disappointing, Love is an example, but Fury fighting these sort of opponents, opponents who can't test him, who are old, limited even at a level below Fury, is waste of his time, it is not the mark of a true warrior and a true champion, it is lazy, it's not good enough.
I said recently, that Andriy Rudenko would have been the perfect opponent for Fury, 34, not old, not young, 3 losses, not too many, but a few, 19 KOs in 31 wins, a reason to be cautious, but not extreme power, lost wide to Tyson's cousin Hughie, and Lucas Browne, almost shut out by Povetkin, so very beatable, not a step too far for Fury, but Rudenko, never been stopped, so he would likely give Fury rounds, test Fury's stamina, so Fury wouldn't be in a lot of danger, but would have to put a shift in, would have do a lot of rounds.

Sefer Seferi, I don't think is bad for Fury's first fight back, he is much better than fighters of the level of Zumbano Love, younger, less losses. I wouldn't say Seferi is the perfect opponent for Fury, but Fury's opposition here, could be worse.

Seferi is an old fighter (39), he does have a fair bit of general experience (24 fights), he has a very good record (23-1), and his record strongly suggests he can punch (88%), he is not a bum, and he should be a live opponent, he has 3 weeks as well, to train knowing he will fight Fury. I think in terms of levels, you can definitely question how good Seferi is, he may be used to winning, but 15 of his opponents have had losing records, around 30% some of them, more or less guys who just never win, he has never beaten an undefeated opponent (bar a fighter making his debut), so his opposition, has not been good at all, you could argue that his form is better because he his last 3 victories were against fighters with winning records, but you could also argue that it is still a poor level of competition because they all had at least 10 losses. Seferi may be a frustrated fighter, who (by no fault of his own) fights poor opponents because it is better than inactivity, and he can't get the opportunity to fight anyone better, which would say a lot about his motivation for this fight, but this is an assumption, we don't know, and what we do know is, for whatever reasons, Seferi has overall, fought very poor opponents, and he has very little experience at this level, he has no wins at nearly this level.
Seferi is also at a weight disadvantage, his Boxrec doesn't say his height, but he is shorter than Charr for sure, Charr is 6'3-4, even he isn't close to 6'9, so Seferi he is much, much shorter than Tyson Fury. Seferi is a two weight fighter, a very small heavyweight, 6 of his last 10 fights were at 200.

I think this, now, is exactly what Fury needs, a fight, and not against a fighter who is ridiculous easy to beat, nothing worse than inactivity in boxing, fighters must fight, either retire, or don't, Fury's boxing career has already lost two and a half years, he can't lose any more time. Fury is fighting again, getting his activity back, it is a good start. If Fury was to lose this fight, it is highly likely he would retire, I would be very shocked if he lost this fight. I don't think looking good in this fight is important for Fury, I think pushing himself, enduring minor struggles, building back up his ring stamina, going into territory he hasn't been in for a while, this is important, winning is obviously vital for his return, and not taking a beating is also very important, I think him taking a beating and/or losing, two things that are very unlikely. I don't think we can expect Fury to look as good as he did against Klitschko, because of the break, but because of the level of Seferi, we can definitely expect him to win comfortably, he has a chance of stopping Seferi, and being very dominant, there is a vast difference in levels and calibre, but a lot of this depends on Seferi as well, who we can't know too much about, we know about his age, size, lack of experience at any kind of level really, aside from Charr, who has he fought?, but we don't know exactly how hard he hits, how much he wants to pull out the upset.

I think theoretically, if Fury is to win this, and with some degree of ease, then the next fight for him, would be a shot at the WBA Regular, against Manuel Charr, because he is yhe only one to have beaten Seferi up until now, and because he beat him wide, it would be a clear step up, not too much too soon, but that would be the perfect fight for Fury. Unfortunately, the Charr fight won't happen this year, Charr vs Oquendo is happening late in September, which I think is ridiculous given Oquendo is 45 and has not fought since July 2014, meaning he is coming off a 4 year break, terrible. Fury should definitely aim for two fights this year, probably best to fight again in December, and target someone who is likely about as good as Charr, maybe Herve Hubeaux, Gerald Washington. I think Fury should have at least 3 fights before fighting Joshua, Wilder, of course, he doesn't necessarily choose when he fights them, but I think he should turn down any fight offers within the next year, and next year, but he also shouldn't go into a Joshua or Wilder fight coming off a tough, tough fight, so next year, if he got the shot at Charr for the WBA, or fought another opponent of that sort of level, that would be the best plan for him, but then again, he might decide to fight an opponent closer to the level of a Joshua before fighting him, so maybe he'll have 4 fights, not fight against the top guys until 2020.

Re: Jeff Horn vs Terence Crawford


I like this fight, I think it should be more hyped.
I think as of the results of 2017, Terence Crawford is the pound for pound best in most opinions, he has the dedication, and the talent, he has had a fantastic couple of years, he has a couple of outstanding victories, which were great performances, in 2016-17, against previously unbeaten fighters, who were both very highly rated, there are many candidates for the top spot on a pound for pound list, but Crawford may the one who has proved the most, has more wins as evidence for being the best boxer, than Lomachenko, Garcia, Spence.
Jeff Horn is underrated, he gets no credit, but he should, he's undefeated, and he beat Manny Pacquiao fair and square.
Horn may be the champion, the A-side, granted, he is, but he is the underdog, a huge underdog, and so he should be.

The bottom line is that these guys are both undefeated, they are the same age, and they will give the fight and the preparation for it, their best efforts, they will stop at nothing to win, they will try their 100% best to win, they both have great desire, by this logic, this fight is not at all a waste of anybody's time. There are a few ways this fight could go.

I would not be at all surprised if Crawford was able to make this about levels, dominate Horn from the outset, Horn is undefeated, a world champion, but so was Gamboa, so was Postol, so was Indongo, and he made these fights, a mismatch, a boxing lesson, and a demolition after his only career struggle for the first few rounds.

I think the wild card is the weight, it benefits Horn, the question is, how important will it be?
Moving up in weight is a big deal, and the difference between light welterweight, and welterweight, is underestimated, jumping up in weight too quickly is a bad idea, I think fighters, in their careers, should move up in weight, a maximum of twice, if at all.
Crawford is 5'8, just slightly shorter than Horn, and he was a tank of a lightweight, he also had a good few years at light welterweight, so he isn't skipping anything, it's not irrational for him to move up in weight, but this is his first fight at 147, he's fighting an unbeaten world champion, and a fighter who is big for the weight.
I think because Crawford hasn't rushed it, he is 5'8, not too short, and he will do the weight the right way, he can adapt well to 147, I think he will be strong at the weight, do well, it will take a fight or two for him to adjust, but I don't think the weight will be big fight factor against him, even in his 147 debut, having said that, it is impossible to be a former lightweight world champion, competing a welterweight world title bout, for the first time without having an obstacle to overcome.

Crawford is not a real welterweight, but that doesn't mean he can't do well at 147, especially considering just how successful he was at 140.

Crawford has still moved up in weight at a gradual pace, he is also taking his experience, boxing brain up to 147, he has a lot of power, and he's fighting a guy who has been hurt before in a few fights, and has been through more struggles in lower level fights, than Crawford himself has been through in higher level fights.

I think it is very possible that Crawford could put Horn away early, like he did against Indongo, this fight could be similar to Crawford vs Gamboa, but I think the weight will be very relevant, I think Horn makes the top 4 of Crawford's opponents, and considering the weight advantage, that Gamboa, Postol, Indongo didn't have, I think this will be Crawford's toughest fight so far.

Horn has a chance, he is much bigger than Crawford is, he's stronger, Crawford's speed and power will be compromised by the weight, Horn is a nightmare opponent, I think he will go the distance, push Crawford, but I think that ultimately, although weight, size matters, so does calibre, so do levels, and Crawford's ease at world level, compared to Horn's difficultly in his one real world level fight, suggests to me strongly, besides other evidence, that Crawford is too much better than Horn, has too much skill, and is such a higher calibre fighter, that Horn won't be able to manage the upset despite his size advantage.

I would say Horn would have maybe a 55% shot at winning, if Crawford had been at 130, 6 years ago, and was leaping straight up from 135, if he was doing an Adrien Broner, at 5'6, racing from 130 to 147 as a kid, still being Crawford, having the same level of talent and skill, I think Horn would win, but I think Crawford is big enough, and near enough to being a welterweight, that he can still win this comfortably.

To a degree, this might turn out like Mayweather vs Maidana did, I think from the opening bell, Horn will be aggressive, try to drag the smaller athlete into a dogfight, he'll make people eat their words even with a good start, and Crawford will have difficulty with the weight, but as the middle rounds go by, the difference in levels, will be apparent, and Crawford's skill will trump Horn's aggression and relentless pressure, he'll be able to sap a lot of steam out of Horn with body/head attacks, which he will make Horn walk into.

It is draining to fight at a high pace, straight after a move up in weight, and I think late in the fight, Crawford will fade a bit, I think Horn will be drained himself, and because of his inferior all round ability, he will have had to work harder, run a mile to have success Crawford could have had with less effort. I think Horn will be swinging for the fences late, and in the last quarter of the fight, he will need to put Crawford on the canvas, but he won't be able to do that.

Re: Mikey Garcia vs Robert Easter Jr

This is an awesome fight!

A unification bout is always great to see, and even more so when it is two undefeated world champions. There have been talks about this fight for so long, and it seemed likely when they won their titles, but for a while, it seemed to be a fight that wasn't to be, with Mikey Garcia fighting at 140, he seemed to be a champion in recess, especially when he was confirmed to fight for a world title at 140, it seemed possible he was going to vacate his 135lb, WBC title. Garcia looked good against Broner and Lipinets, especially against Broner, he can compete well at 140, but he did not hit as hard, did not have the speed, or the agility he had at 135, it is not his weight category, so Garcia, without doubt, made the right move, opting to defend his title at 135, and vacating his title at 140. I think as soon as Garcia confirmed he was staying at 135, this fight seemed likely, because both fighters have wanted to fight each other for a long time, Garcia has been talking about unification fights for a while, he had a frustrating time of trying to make a fight with then WBO 135lb champion, Terry Flanagan, he mentioned Easter at that point, and Easter as well, has had Garcia on his radar for a long time I believe, has always wanted that fight just as much as Garcia.

This is a great match up, Garcia is the favourite, he isn't as heavy a favourite inside the boxing world as people outside the boxing world would assume he is, but still, Easter is an underdog in this fight. I think Easter is probably particularly motivated to give this fight his 100% best because people doubt him, and expect him to lose.

Mikey is the favourite for a few reasons, for a start, he is a 4 weight world champion, he has the bigger name, for reasons, his brother Robert is known for being an exceptional trainer, former world champion himself, and he has been an established world level fighter for longer, dominated big names, built his name into the top 5 world rankings in many people's opinions, and been so impressive that he is considered by many to be the biggest threat there is to Vasyl Lomachenko, Easter however, still has to really sell himself as a fighter, earn his place as a top level fighter, because at the moment, he is still quite new to being really well known in the boxing world,