Game plans for upcoming fights

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Game plans for upcoming fights

Ruiz vs Joshua II

Joshua

Double jab, right hand
I don't think Joshua should be first with the single jab, because Ruiz is too good a counter puncher, is too good at cutting distance, he doesn't have as good a counter overhand right as Povetkin, but he still has good head movement, and I think being first with the single jab is an ineffective tactic against Ruiz. The counter jab is a good weapon for Joshua, because it stops Ruiz in his tracks, and if Joshua can land it, round after round, everytime Ruiz tries to get on the inside, that will take more out of Ruiz. The double jab is a great weapon for Joshua, because it gets Ruiz in position, sets up the right hand, and even if Joshua doesn't follow it up with the right hand, the jab still scores points, and the second jab stops Ruiz capitalising on the opening which the first jab gives him. The long right hand is definitely the best power shot for Joshua, because while it does damage, it is a shot thrown from a safe distance for Joshua, and range is very important for him.

Use your feet
Joshua's best defence is definitely the use of his legs, because it's hard to use head movement and blocking abilities against Ruiz, who is fast, accurate, throws combinations, but he has slow feet, so the best way to defend against Ruiz is to disallow him getting into his punching range. It's important that Joshua doesn't go back in a straight line, because if he does that, Ruiz can walk him down, he'll hit a dead end, and if he can't get off the ropes, all he can do is tie up or try to fight in the pocket, I think neither are good tactics for him, he can't out fight Ruiz in Ruiz's punching range, and I think Ruiz can do damage as he works out of a clinch. Joshua needs lateral movement, needs to pivot to get out of range and avoid exchanges.

Ruiz

Body work
Ruiz's counter left hook was what changed the fight the first time, he hit Joshua high on the head, hurt him bad. This time, Joshua is likely to hold the phone on his right side, meaning his right hand will be high, he can't realistically keep the hand up for 36 minutes, because he needs to throw his right hand, but aside from being patient, waiting for the opening, Ruiz should go to the body with the left hook, it won't be easy to get past Joshua's jab, but if he moves to his left slightly, he can avoid the jab, step in and land the left hook to the body. Joshua has a long reach, but if he holds the phone, that will bring his elbow up slightly, give Ruiz an opening to the body. Ruiz might be wise to set up the left hook to the body by throwing the lead left hook to the head, that will take Joshua's mind away from the body, and with Ruiz's head movement, I don't think Joshua can land the single right hand as Ruiz comes in.

Make him work
In the early rounds, whether he wins them or not, Ruiz can't let Joshua control the pace, and if he holds off, tries to be clever, tries to out box Joshua, I think that won't work, and it will allow Joshua to work at his own pace, and even if he tries to be a defensive puncher, backs up and tries to fire a counter off the back foot as Joshua attacks, that's a bad tactic, because Joshua won't take that bait. Ruiz has to apply educated pressure, can't get frustrated about struggling with the range, has to make Joshua exert his legs, because the more Joshua has to use his legs, the less mobile he'll be down the stretch, and even though it won't take away Joshua's jab, the jab will lose speed and snap if he's been made to work hard, round after round. If Joshua's feet slow down in the second half, and Ruiz can get past his weaker jab, Ruiz can fight his fight, and that's not a fight Joshua can win.

From what I understand, Ruiz and Joshua will both be lighter in the rematch. I think being lighter will be a big help to Joshua, it will benefit his stamina, mobility, and he won't lose power, he will be slightly less strong, but overpowering and out hustling Ruiz shouldn't be part of his game plan, so it's worth the sacrifice in strength, for better stamina. Ruiz, in terms of hand speed, stamina, overall conditioning, was fine last time, the way he looks means nothing, but if he loses a small amount of weight, I think that will benefit him if anything, because slow feet were a problem for him in the first fight, so if he is lighter this time, and that increases his foot speed, he can get into his punching range more quickly.

Re: Game plans for upcoming fights

Commey vs Lopez

Commey

Make him work
The worst thing Commey can do is let the more technically skilled fighter, with the better amateur pedigree, box comfortably, the second half is when he is likely to do better, he doesn't need to rely on winning the early rounds, it is very important that even if Lopez is beating him to the punch, Commey is making him work hard, and taking a lot out of him.

Rough him up
Commey is fighting a highly regarded prospect who is inexperienced, but not so inexperienced he can rely on just the 12 round distance, and the level he is fighting at, to be too much for him, he is in against an opponent who has skills, has fast hands, who has the better amateur background, so Commey needs to make this the kind of fight that the amateurs don't prepare you for, needs to do what he can get away with, rough Lopez up, use pushing and shoving to get him where he wants him, try to unsettle Lopez with ugly, rough house tactics.

Lopez

Keep it basic
Lopez has to be conservative, he has been 12 rounds, but only once, only been 8 rounds once, he doesn't want to let Commey get the momentum, early, but at the same time, he has to be patient, because if he obliges Commey, is aggressive in the early rounds, Commey can have success more easily. I think Lopez should use his amateur pedigree, use his better skilset, look to counter Commey.

Take centre ring
While I don't think Lopez should start too aggressively, shouldn't throw a lot of punches in the early rounds, I don't think he should try to box on the back foot, I think he is strong enough to take centre ring, not allow Commey to get his shots off or get any momentum.

Re: Game plans for upcoming fights

Povetkin vs Hunter

Povetkin

Make him work
Povetkin will struggle to get into range, early, Hunter's movement will be a problem for Povetkin, but Povetkin needs to throw shots as soon as Hunter stops moving and looks for his own shots. The more Hunter moves around the ring in the first half of the fight, the more his movement will slow down in the second half of the fight, and if Hunter is throwing a lot of shots on the back foot in the first half, and he isn't taking a toll on Povetkin, that will work in Povetkin's favour.

Lead left hook
Povetkin was a great amateur, but he is not a typical well schooled European, he has a professional style, he is a very good inside fighter, attacks head and body, good variety, but he is hard to prepare for, because he jumps in with the left hook, it's hard to anticipate his attacks, it's hard to see the left hook coming. If Povetkin throws the lead overhand right, I think that's a bad tactic, because Hunter can see that shot coming, avoid it easily, and Povetkin can only land that shot once he's in range.

Hunter

Use Pivots
Hunter should use his feet, use lateral movement, which will keep him out of Povetkin's punching range, and Povetkin won't be able to walk him down if he changes direction at the right time, but it will be hard to get his own shots off if he is trying to stay out of Povetkin's range throughout the round, and if he stays at that distance, while it frustrates Povetkin, and stops him getting into range, it doesn't take much out of Povetkin because he doesn't waste anything, won't be taking shots either. Hunter has to let the shots go, but he should pivot, rather than just stepping to the side or backing up, because Povetkin will try to counter as soon as he's in range, and Povetkin throws wide shots which makes it harder to take a simple step to the side, but pivots will make Povetkin miss, and briefly stop the pressure of Povetkin.

Throw a lot of shots
Hunter has to focus on winning rounds, not on a stoppage, he should be cautious, but I think using feints and looking for openings is a mistake against Povetkin, because he is compact, and it's hard to prepare for his attacks. I think Hunter should be busy, not load up, keep the jab in Povetkin's face, land the follow up right hand the split second Povetkin moves forward.

Re: Game plans for upcoming fights

Harrison vs Charlo II

Harrison

Lateral movement
The worst thing Harrison can do is try to out fight Charlo in the centre of the ring, his lateral movement was a big problem for Charlo in the first fight, and I think it will be again, even if Charlo does a better job of getting into his punching range than last time.

Throw Combinations
Harrison, as the lesser puncher, shouldn't use single shots, he has hand speed, but Charlo is a better counter puncher, so he needs to throw combinations. I don't think Charlo deals with combination punchers well, he looks for one great shot, it benefits Charlo when his opponent throws his own single power shot.

Attack the body
Going to the body is the best way to slow down the movement of a mobile fighter. Harrison's movement is a big problem for Charlo, he doesn't cut off the ring well, he couldn't stop Harrison's movement the first time, and for a come forward fighter, he head hunts too much, doesn't attack the body enough.

Make him work
It's important for Charlo, not that he wins the early rounds, he shouldn't go for the early finish, but he should try to make Harrison work hard, because to come on strong in the second half, he needs to slow down Harrison's movement, and to do that, he needs to bully Harrison into having to work hard to win the early rounds. Charlo can't load up, look for one big shot, he has to apply consistent pressure, cut off the ring.

Re: Game plans for upcoming fights

real good breakdown Champ 97

Re: Game plans for upcoming fights

Cheers pal!

Re: Game plans for upcoming fights

Eubank vs Korobov

Eubank

Consistent pressure
Korobov is likely to box on the back foot, Eubank was the counter puncher against DeGale, but I don't think he will be against Korobov, and I don't think those tactics would work in this fight. Eubank has to keep Korobov occupied, can't afford to let him rest, he needs to take advantage of Korobov's age, needs to get into range, get past Korobov's straight shots, find the balance between swinging for the fences like he did against Groves, and loading up, being stationary, and letting the opponent steal the rounds like against Saunders.

Jab to the body
Eubank should attack the body, but I think the jab to the body is the best shot for him, because even if it isn't a power shot, it can still knock wind out of the opponent, and it leaves a smaller opening than power shots to the body.

Korobov

Keep it on the outside
There is no reason for Korobov to stand and trade with Eubank, no reason for him even to throw anything long range shots, he should box like he did against Charlo, use the ring, don't let the opponent cut the distance, use the 1, 2 to not only score points but to keep the opponent at range. I don't think Korobov should try to be versatile, varied with his attacks, I don't think Eubank can deal with the 1, 2, and Korobov can win rounds just by landing those shots.

Counter left hand
Korobov shouldn't be the aggressor, he should be on the back foot, but if both fighters are looking for openings, the judges will favour the aggressor, so while Korobov should be patient, he can't let the early rounds slip away. Korobov should nick the points with the jab, be first with that shot, not the left, but he doesn't need to look for the counter jab, because that's a much harder shot for Eubank to counter than the left, I think Eubank can land the counter right over the left, but I don't think he has the skill to land the counter left hook when Korobov throws the jab. The 1, 2 is a good combination for Korobov, but I think he can land the single counter left when Eubank throws the right.