Tue, 2020-09-15 09:11
This is going to be an interesting one to say the least. Obviously Dillian Whyte was winning comfortably up until the Knockout. On the other hand Povetkin showed a kind of power and ability to place the shots you don't typically find, especially at his age.
So far in his career, the uppercut has been Dillian Whyte's Krypronite, it's dropped him no less than 3 times and knocked him out twice. Given Whyte's penchant for body work, it often time leads to him leaning in and putting himself right in line for that punch. In the case of the last fight it was Whyte's poor footwork that left him out of position so that punch could land to full effect.
As far as Povetkin goes, it's always been said to beware of an old man in a career where men die young. Last fight is why people say that. He may not have the speed or reflexes he used to, but his power sure hasn't nor has his experience.
What this fight comes down to is this: will Dillian Whyte learn from what happened last time and tighten his defense? Is he maybe coming back too soon after such a nasty KO loss? Will he be as sharp?
It's Dillian Whyte's fight to lose just like last time. At age 41 Povetkin's about as good as he's ever going to be. It's going to come down to if Whyte makes a mistake and gives him the opening again.
Sat, 2020-09-19 07:24
AJ Knight, great analysis, especially the second paragraph, Whyte has definitely proved to be susceptible to the uppercut.
Tue, 2020-09-15 10:04
Wed, 2020-09-16 19:23
Alexander Povetkin KO6
Sat, 2020-09-19 07:55
It's a high risk fight for Whyte, but I don't see where else he goes after the first fight, 3 months, after a KO like that, is ambitious, but I think it's the right move for him, it's soon for Povetkin is well, the first fight was damaging for him as well. Whyte has responded very well to the loss, but there's only so much you can read into a fighter's mentality based on what they say, and he knew there was a rematch clause in the deal. It will be interesting to see if Whyte has the same confidence this time as the first time, no one will know how the loss affected him until the rematch, Povetkin might have a mental edge, should certainly be confident, he has the momentum, but time is against him, Whyte is still young, who took more damage is arguable, and there is always the risk for Povetkin that he gets old overnight.
Most of us didn't know there was a rematch clause, but the fact there is one proves Whyte and his team knew Povetkin was a threat. In my opinion, the winner deserves to be the WBC mandatory, no doubt. I'm fairly confident Whyte wins this, I think he was well on his way to winning the first fight, Povetkin looked worse than I've seen in his previous fights and Whyte looked better than in his, and I think winning is dependent on Whyte making a mistake. Povetkin has slow legs, I don't think he has 12 rounds in the tank at the pace of the first fight, his output is a fair bit lower than when he was in his prime, I thought Whyte's jab neutralised him for the majority of the first 9 minutes. It was a great set up and shot from Povetkin, but I think the ball is in Whyte's court in the rematch because he didn't to be on the ropes, didn't need to leave the opening for the uppercut, and should've positioned himself to see Povetkin's left. I think after the second knock down in round 4, Whyte got over confident about being in the pocket with Povetkin, because it was a left hook on the ropes, he thought he was more dangerous. I don't think Whyte will make the same mistake this time as last time, Povetkin still can't be written off, but I think there's more Whyte can do to win the rematch than him.
I don't think Whyte will stop moving, I don't think he'll try to move fast, he'll just keep changing direction, will stay out of Povetkin's range, be busy with the fast jab, sometimes the double jab, will throw the right hand behind the jab when the shot is there, will do what was working in the first fight. I don't think Povetkin will necessarily try to repeat the shot from the first fight, he's a veteran, and he's a two handed puncher, so I think he'll be more varied this time, and Whyte has to be wary of the right as well as the left. I think Povetkin will do similar to what he did in the first fight, I think he'll be slightly more aggressive in the first couple of rounds, will try to start like he did against Joshua, and I can see him hurting Whyte, but he will walk into the jab and right hand, he'll be hurt himself, and the difference will be Whyte's jab and Povetkin's inability to negate it. I think Povetkin will after 5 or 6 rounds, and Whyte will take over, I think he'll take his time, will keep knocking more out of Povetkin with the jab, will land the right right hand more often, I don't think he'll take any unnecessary risks, but he'll break Povetkin down over a few one sided rounds, and stop him late.
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