George Groves vs Callum Smith

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George Groves vs Callum Smith

Awesome that this fight is happening!
If an injury happens, it happens, it is life, it is one of those things, and it isn't ideal to have delays, for more reasons than some people realise, it unavoidably affects the setup and structure of a tournament when the most important fight in the competition is in jeopardy, but it would be a crying shame if the these issues were enough to ruin what has been built by the previous stages of the tournament. The truth is, I think, that if two finalists, who have both earned the opportunity to be in the final, don't fight, and a postponement turns into a cancellation, there is and was no point in even having a tournament, the purpose is defeated, and the whole thing becomes a waste of time, basically. It is good that the delay from Groves's injury hasn't nullified the fight, it is a great, great match up, boxing fans have wanted to see Groves vs Smith for years, it might be the most popular fight at 168, definitely is within the UK fanbase, they both won in the quarterfinals, they both won in the semifinals, they want to fight each other, this fight is important, so let's appreciate the fact that we are going to see it afterall.

I think this is a very interesting, intriguing fight, there are different ways of looking at it, you can easily see why both guys can win, and because of the magnitude of this fight, and based on what we've seen from them in the past, we know these are two technically skilled, dangerous, very entertaining fighters. I think this could be a real 50/50 fight.

Callum Smith, for years, has been considered, in the UK, to be one of the biggest boxing talents in Britain, maybe even potentially a serious, top, world level contender, he has alawys been considered more talented than his 3 older brothers, who have all fought for world titles (one has been a world champion), and it has always looked likely he is the best of the 4 of them, part of it may be because he is the youngest and was the best guided and best taught as a kid, maybe it is about raw talent, or maybe a combination of both, but he has always been considered very good, and a future world champion, virtually guaranteed.
Smith has some good wins, Rocky Fielding, Erik Skoglund, he has impressed, been dominant at a certain level, he has made some big statements, the Fielding win was explosive, and not just the win but the way he won, was evidence of a fighter with exceptional talent, but in terms of his proving his talent, achieving what so many people believe he can and hope he will achieve, it seems like he has been delayed, and his career hasn't really taken off yet, not at world level. I believe Smith is not commended enough for the Skoglund victory, and that is because, Skoglund, as well as Smith, was unbeaten, underrated, had no name at world level, I think he proved a lot that night, when a fighter might be behind after 7 rounds, blood pouring from his nose, being hit with a lot of hurtful punches, suffering adversity, can be when a fighter's adaptability is really tested, and Smith dug deep, pulled away, and dominated the fight from 8-11, scored a knockdown, won by UD, and wide.
Aside from the Skoglund victory, I don't think Smith has ever really fought a really good, world level fighter, and now, at 28, 24-0, he is definitely ready, it is crunch time now, the waiting, for Smith, and all his supporters, has gone on long enough, he needs a world title fight, and a big, high profile, meaningful fight.

George Groves is some fighter, he has had a tough, rollacosta career, he is very well known in boxing, for the ups, the downs, and the drama he has brought to the sport. People thought Groves was overrated, not as good as he looked in the first Froch fight, after he lost to Badou Jack, it was a split decision, but not at all controversial, and not a very disputed decision amongst the media and public. It is admirable, the way Groves got his act together, hired a trainer he had a really good working relationship with, started a new chapter in 2016, won fight after fight, looked better than he ever had, and after 4 straight wins, finally, after all he had been through, after the controversial stoppage loss, the devastating, explosive knockout loss, the split decision defeat, the notion of being 'a nearly man', he did it, against an extremely tough, motivated, awkward opponent, he became a world champion, in 2017.
Groves has really improved his reputation recently, not built it, if anything gets you well known, it is boxing in front of 80,000 fans, but his reputation has improved, actually becoming a world champion, not being a nearly man anymore, he wasn't a big underdog against Eubank, but he was a slight underdog, and that win, that victory, although it might not be his best win, there was something about that win for Groves, it might be the best we've ever seem him box, he looked a class above Eubank, put him in his place, he nullified him, it wasn't a boxing lesson, it wasn't an outright one sided fight, but Groves clearly won the fight by establishing his jab, establishing himself as the counter puncher, and knowing how to make the fight slightly ugly, using his size, messing Groves around, and still keep it a predominantly clean fight, that is the sign of a veteran fighter. It has become hard to use Groves's losses as a criticism, or a reason not to consider him a really good, world level fighter, because he had success in all his losses, and with wins over James DeGale, Fedor Chudinov, Chris Eubank Jr, his legacy looks fine, he gave Carl Froch really difficult fights, dropped him, no shame in losing to Badou Jack.
A lot of people, who are impressed Groves beat Eubank, might think he has achieved so much, that he could retire and still have made the most of his potential, but Groves won't see it that way, I think the Eubank win will have motivated him even more, to accomplish even more, I don't think he ever stopped believing he was capable of beating Carl Froch, and I don't think he will even consider he has met his match, I think we will see a very motivated Groves in this fight, the difference is, between now, and a year ago, is that before he fought Chudinov, there had to be some desperation, a certain type of pressure, that isn't there now, because in terms of his level of competition, world level success, you only have to look at how well he did in his losses, and now, he is a world champion (and not too brief, a champion who has defended, twice), but now, I think although his career is probably near the end (I think he should and might retire after this fight), he will be inspired, very motivated to win this fight.

I think Smith needs this more than Groves, there is more pressure on him, he has proven less in his career, whether that will hurt Smith's chances, and turn into desperation which Groves will exploit, or whether Groves will end up in there against a fighter who wants the win more than he does.

Smith is two years younger than Groves, I think he is definitely the fresher fighter, he is bigger, about 8 or 9 centimetres taller I think, he's physically stronger. I think Smith has great stamina, we've seen him do 12 rounds, many times, I've not seen him struggle for pace down the stretch. I don't think Groves has stamina issues, I think the reason he used to tire after 6 rounds or so, was because of the excessive amount of punches he used to through, his wasteful tenancies of putting so much into predictable right hands, sapped so much out of him, it was more a mental issue for him, but since he's been training with McGuigan, he's used the jab, used his right hand, behind a working jab, within the game plan, and without being unwise, against Murray, Eubank, in rounds 11 and 12 against Murray, in rounds 10 and 11 against Eubank, he might have had his best rounds, so he has 12 decent rounds in the tank, but he still may tire against a fighter who can make him work at a pace he doesn't intend to work at, can control the tempo, because Groves will never have a great gas tank, not relative to some fighters who just seem to thrive with the 12 round distance.

I think speed lies with Groves, in hand and in foot. I think in terms of who has the faster, more precise, better educated jab, it is Groves, 100%. For world level experience, we know Groves is better prepared than Smith is, not just because he has had 7 more fights, been in 6 world title fights whilst Smith hasn't been in any yet, but also because of the exact level amongst world title contention he has been at, Carl Froch is one of the best British fighters who ever lived, he is a British boxing legend, and that isn't even being generous.

I think in terms of doing everything right, hitting, not getting hit, sticking to a game plan, Groves beats Smith.

In terms of who can hold up against shots, who has the better chin, there is no comparison, I think Smith is 95-99% impossible to hurt, Groves on the other hand, well not only does he not take a shot well, I would use him as an example whenever talking about world class fighters with heart, dedication, determination, but get hurt when they get hit. In every fight he has, Groves seems to get hurt, at least to a degree, I think a big difference between Groves now, and Groves a few years ago, is that now, he knows exactly what to do when he is hurt, he reacts the right way, doesn't let his opponent follow it up, and it is extremely rare you can stop a guy with one punch, if he is still on his feet after it lands.

-I think Groves is a much better defensive fighter than Smith

-I think outside of the jab, Smith is the better offensive fighter

Both these guys are great defensive attackers, they don't just bulldose forward and attack, they don't just back off and defend, they can inflict damage, hurt the opponent off the back foot.

I think because Smith is not as defensively aware, not as instinctive and on guard a fighter as Groves is, he more viable to walk into a shot, and if he does, of he makes one big mistake, Groves can hurt him, because Groves hits very hard, he might not hit as hard as used to think he did, maybe he wanted specifically to get the knockout, too much, but he is still a naturally powerful, dangerous puncher, he is accurate, and he can set up opponents, in a close, competitive fight, he destroyed Jamie Cox with a lethal body shot.

Danny Garcia vs Shawn Porter

Of all the upcoming fights at the moment, this is the one I'm looking forward to seeing the most, I've mentioned this is a particularly good match, for years, I think the clash of styles is very interesting. It is brilliant that this fight is actually confirmed!

I think Shawn Porter has wanted to fight Danny Garcia for a long time, I'm not sure how long Porter has been at all on Garcia's radar. I don't think Porter has pushed for this fight more than Garcia because Garcia has been avoiding the fight, or because he at all doubts his chances in a fight against him, I think he has been considering himself a class above Porter, and hasn't seen the point in fighting him, hasn't seen any gain from hypothetically beating Porter, but Porter, just wanting to target a rival he has always been very confident he would defeat, and massively help his career by defeating. I think up until recently, it was just that issue of one fighter really not needing the fight, and not seeing the other guy as so much of a threat he would be really motivated, really have to fight at his best, having easier options which are just as good for his career, and the other guy wanting the fight but just getting frustrated, not getting the fight.

It is different now, now that the WBC title is vacant, it isn't about thinking about Garcia and his team finding the smartest way to work back towards a Thurman rematch or a shot at a different title, because now that this is an outright, direct world title fight, Garcia has something to gain from fighting Porter, he has a very good reason to take the fight, it was always going to be unlikely he'd turn down a world title fight against anyone.

I think it is great that these guys get to fight for a world title right away, they deserve to be able to, Garcia has only ever lost a split decision, he is coming off a great performance, good win over former lightweight world champion, Brandon Rios, and Porter, had a good 2017, looked solid in beating Andre Berto, Adrian Granados, that's two wins against good opponents, and against Keith Thurman, he won a good 5 rounds, gave Thurman all he could handle, FOTY candidate, and a strong one, Keith Thurman vs Shawn Porter, and prior to that, Porter, coming off a wide win over former 4 weight world champion Adrien Broner. Neither of these guys deserve to have to go through an eliminator, they deserve to train for a world title fight, now.

I think both these guys are in their absolute primes.

I think mentally, Porter may have a slight edge, in the sense that he might know Garcia as a fighter slightly better than vise verse. I think Porter knows Garcia is great, but has always believed he can beat him, whereas Garcia, I don't know, but I think maybe he struggles to accept that Porter (this seemingly reckless bulldog of a fighter who seems clumsy at times), is on his level, and that it is a fight he can only just about win. Garcia can't go into this fight considering Porter lucky to have the privilege of sharing a ring with him, he has to accept that Porter is a threat, he's better than he wants to think he is, and he will have to being out one of his career best performances to beat him, because if he goes into the fight holding onto the idea that he is levels above Porter, like Haye did against Bellew, like Eubank did against Saunders, like Broner did against Maidana, then that is a terrible mistake, so for his own sake, he cannot overlook Shawn Porter.

I think Garcia is a slight favourite to win the fight, but without doubt, Keith Thurman is the best person to ask about who wins, because he is the only fighter to fight them both. Thurman says he thinks Porter wins, and mentioned that Garcia not having the output is a real problem for him. I think most people are struggling to make a prediction, but I think the majority might be just about leaning towards Garcia.

Porter is physically stronger than Garcia
Porter is faster, in hand,
and foot
Porter has the much better jab
Porter characteristically throws a much, much higher amount of punches than Garcia
I think the better head movement lies with Porter
I think Porter is successful with his offence at a higher variation of distances than Garcia (e.g., Garcia seems to find his range, get his timing going, and land with a quality clean shot, but Porter is so versatile with his offence, he can land on the inside, outisde, sort of mid range, he has got a lot better at not smothering his work on the inside like he used to I think).

Garcia a naturally seriously dangerous puncher, Porter isn't really
Garcia is good counter puncher, Porter isn't
Garcia can box brilliantly going forwards, and going backwards, Porter has a bad history with trying to box on the back foot
I think Garcia is the more adaptable of the two
I think the better blocking abilities lie with Garcia
Garcia punches with the more accuracy, the better quality work with a lead power shot, I think really he is the more classy boxer
I think Garcia is the more selective point scorer, he can lead with a clean uppercut, famous left hook, or cross.

Garcia is 1-2 inches taller than Porter.
Porter has about an inch more reach than Garcia.
6 months between Garcia's last fight and this fight, 9 months between Porter's last fight and this fight, 6 months is a good amount of time, really I think it can be the perfect amount of time between two fights at this level, but 9, not a layoff, not substantial inactivity, but maybe slightly more time than ideal.
Porter has fought twice in the last 16 months before this fight, Garcia, only once.

Porter put Thurman through a far more physically gruelling ordeal than Garcia did, he hit him a lot more, he put him through more pain.
Garcia didn't get hit with nearly as many shots as Porter did, didn't get hit with the Thurman hayemakers that Porter walked into.
In my opinion, Porter and Garcia both won 5 rounds against Thurman, both did well in different ways, but both lost by couple of points.
Most people think Porter did better against Thurman than Garcia, a lot of people had it a draw, and very few had it to Thurman by any more than 2, none of the judges had it wide, whereas one of the judges did have it wide for Thurman against Garcia.
Garcia lost, but only by split decision, Porter made it close, it was a classic fight, but it was still a unanimous decision loss for him.

I think tactics wise, this is very interesting.
A good start is very important for both fighters.

For Porter, he has to be first, he has to initiate the early exchanges, Porter is not a back foot boxer, he is a bulldog, but he is not slow footed, and stationery, not at all, against Berto and Granados, he looked like a puppet on strings, his feet were barely even touching the canvas, he is so nimble and light on his feet, and when he comes forward, he covers the canvas so much more quickly than the opponent expects, he has the unusual combination of extreme physical strength and extreme foot speed and agility. Early, Porter, if he is patient, if he doesn't give Garcia the opening, and he stays on the balls of his feet, in that natural rhythm of almost floating above the floor, constantly dipping in and out of range, and using his speed to feint, keep Garcia occupied, he won't allow Garcia to set himself, and as soon as Garcia begins to commit to anything, as soon as there is an opening, as soon as Garcia is even slightly unaware, Porter needs to dive forwards with whatever shot is necessary, and follow it up with a second, third, fourth, with variety, very quickly, overwhelm and smother Garcia's capability of getting a counter off, by throwing a quick combination, and at close range, so he can overpower Garcia as well and take the authority, and then quickly escape, slip and roll, spin Garcia, pivot, and move off, make Garcia need to chase him, and if Garcia does try to respond with any early urgency, let him, and punish Garcia for opting to exchange with him, by using his footwork, establishing his jab, or throwing a cluster of punches to outdo Garcia's work, because at this early stage, Porter's hand speed, superior jab, and ability to get himself at the range he wants by using his foot speed, should be more effective for him than any of Garcia's attributes.

For Garcia, setting traps is important, patience is good, a counter puncher who fights a guy with speed knows the early rounds will be difficult, but timing will be more important as the rounds go by, but Garcia can't let Porter take the early rounds from him. Garcia cannot make mistakes against Porter, he is a counter puncher, but for a guy who doesn't often use a good working jab or even just a solitary pot shot/point scorer sort of jab, he has to rely on power shot counter punches, cross or hook leads, that requires a lot of patience and awareness early against a guy who is lighter on his feet, and could zoom forward and attack you at any split second. Early, Garcia has to be patient, he has to wait for the first mistake from Porter, he can't work of sheer desire to win the round, he is too flat footed, he doesn't have the early work ethic quailty, the jab, and he has to keep in mind that Porter doesn't steal the round either by not pulling the trigger, so Porter would have to take a chance himself to put something in the bank, nick the round, and if and when Porter does think he can catch Garcia due to a lapse in concentration, a misdirection, pull the trigger, that is when Garcia has to counter, and punch out of range momentarily, and if that spurrs Porter on, Garcia can still keep that momentum, land on the counter with variety as Porter walks forward, and Garcia has (although a low output) a high enough output that he land a good 3 or 4 solid counters over a period of 30 seconds. Garcia can make a great start if his uses the right tactics, and he can implement his game plan better than Porter can, and Garcia, the guy with the genuine power, not just thudding punches, not just without a lack of power, but an actual natural puncher, can do more damage, land the more toll taking punches.

I think after 4 rounds, if Porter is likely behind, it will be tricky, because he will have to take chances, and if you take chances, outside of your game plan, against a guy who can time you, you can make yourself a target.
If Garcia is likely behind after 4 rounds, it will be tricky, because if he has to take more chances, against a guy who has such a high output, and against a physically stronger fighter, he might be making it a sort of fight which will suit the opponent even more.

I think the early rounds are so important for both fighters, but the middle rounds as well, and of course down the stretch, the fight could be in the balance, after 8, 10.

As the fight goes on, because timing is going to be more important than early in the fight, Garcia may be more successful, and he is the puncher, and less likely to be the one walking into a punch, so as they both take more chances, open up, exchange, Garcia could be the one to come on.

As the fight goes on, Porter might benefit from both fighters being more active, having settled down, because if he can charge forward, even if he takes one on the way in, he can pin Garcia down, overpower him, hold on if he needs to, but make it hard for Garcia to breathe, be relelntless, and make it a battle, and if he does this, he can out fight Garcia by out hustling him, being relentless, landing in such a volume, and fighting at his pace, because Garcia simply does not have the punch output to outland Porter in a high tempo brawl, and Porter lands with force, thudding, heavy punches, easily hard enough to take a toll, break down an opponent, so Garcia, in deep waters, in that sort of fight, would have to put Porter down I think, have to really hurt him, and although Garcia has carried a lot of his natural power up to 147 as he has adpated to the weight over the past year or two, Porter has a granite chin, he walks through knockout punches, he soaks it up, he has a naturally durable chin, and Kell Brook, Keith Thurman, hurt Porter a few times when they landed flush as he went forward, but found they couldn't really make any more of it than just hurting him, because not only have his survival knowledge increased a lot over the past couple of years, but his recovery rate is brilliant, and Garcia might be a puncher, but he isn't a bigger puncher than Keith Thurman.

As the fight goes on, as both fighters work harder, they will lose some sharpness from their shots at times, because of the mental energy it takes as well, Porter and Garcia might both have breif sloppy moments, and for Shawn Porter, that might mean taking a short rest moving back, easing off, and if Garcia takes full advantage of Porter back peddling, at all, he is capable of moving forward with a really good counter, he did that against Herrera, Matthysse, very well, and Porter on the back foot, I don't think will be difficult for Garcia to time, counter, and get the better of it when Porter responds.

As the fight goes on, I think Porter's physical strength will be important, so will his output, and I think as the fighters have both gotten well into the fight, they are putting it on the line, Porter could really benefit because he has the combination of being able to overpower his opponent, and throw so many more punches, he could really tire Garcia out if he keeps relentless pressure on him, makes him work hard to move, makes him need to drag punches out of himself, and with Porter now a lot better at stifling his own punches, throwing a lot, and with decent variety, he should land clean plenty of times, and although he isn't a real puncher, his thudding weight of punch and fair amount of power means he can land a lot of energy sapping punches, it really takes it out of you to keep taking strong punches from a fighter with the strength, output of Porter. Against Peterson, Garcia's lack of foot speed was an issue for him, he couldn't do what a lot of fighters at his level can do when they are ahead and wanting the opponent to tire themself out. If Porter fought Floyd Mayweather a few years ago, then I think late in the fight, he would be just a bit behind, he wouldn't be quite quick enough on his feet, often enough, to keep hardcore pressure on Mayweather, and against Thurman, at times, Thurman's mobility was frustrating for Porter, he struggled to pin him down at times, even though Porter has fast feet on the front foot, it is hard to really physically commit yourself to an attack and be at your fastest, feet wise, it is difficult to time your attacks as well, and ultimately, a fighter who is moving around the ring, changing directions at the right time, like a Crawford, Lomachenko, Mayweather, or even Thurman, it is so hard to pin them down, keep them static, and you are forced to invest time trying to find your range, time you want to spend attacking your opponent, but Garcia, doesn't have the foot speed to do that, even in his last fight, sure he landed the more, the cleaner and stronger punches against Rios, was technically more gifted, and th naturally bigger, but he was never able to make Rios chase shadows, fail to get himself in range and usethe ring to frustrate him like Pacquiao and Bradley did against Rios, and Guerrero, he hit Guerrero with the harder, cleaner shots, technically get the best of him, but he couldn't make damage against him what Thurman and Mayweather was able to do which was very important for them to school and dominate Guerrero. In the late rounds, when Porter is relentless, I don't think Garcia will be able to really escape Porter's fighting range.

Tyson Fury vs Sefer Seferi

Well, good to see Fury has not only a fight confirmed but an opponent as well.

For a start, Fury, for the past year, at least from where I'm standing, has been irrelevant to boxing, 2015 was 2015, 2017-18 is/was 2017-18, and based on the timing aspect, the issue of lost years, Fury wasn't to be highly ranked depsite his outstanding win in 2015. It is a different story, now, Fury training, 270 or less, is much more convincing and easier to take seriously than a 350lb+ Fury, doing nothing but eat and do drugs, it shows a good, basic, but important step towards bouncing back from the dark place he has been in, but even then, he wasn't setting himself above the many thousands of professional athletes in the world, most professional athletes are superfit and training, at a variety of levels. Now, he has his licence back, he has a fight date, and opponent, we cannot say Fury is back in the mix just yet, he has a long way to go, but now, he is fighting, his inactive streak will come to an end, and we can talk about as a current fighter, not just a historic fighter who ruled the heavyweight division for a very, very short time.

For opposition, obviously, Fury being 30 months inactive, does not want to rush it, that means not only staying away for Joshua and Wilder, but also Povetkin, Ortiz, and starting at definitely a notch below these sort of fighters.
Whilst Fury shouldn't be rushed, he should also not be wasting any time, because in boxing, you have to make the most out of the time, and suggestions he was considering fighting Raphael Zumbano Love (39 years old, 39-16, has lost 4 of his last 5, his last two, first round KO losses to Filip Hrgovic and Alexander Ustinov), were disappointing, Love is an example, but Fury fighting these sort of opponents, opponents who can't test him, who are old, limited even at a level below Fury, is waste of his time, it is not the mark of a true warrior and a true champion, it is lazy, it's not good enough.
I said recently, that Andriy Rudenko would have been the perfect opponent for Fury, 34, not old, not young, 3 losses, not too many, but a few, 19 KOs in 31 wins, a reason to be cautious, but not extreme power, lost wide to Tyson's cousin Hughie, and Lucas Browne, almost shut out by Povetkin, so very beatable, not a step too far for Fury, but Rudenko, never been stopped, so he would likely give Fury rounds, test Fury's stamina, so Fury wouldn't be in a lot of danger, but would have to put a shift in, would have do a lot of rounds.

Sefer Seferi, I don't think is bad for Fury's first fight back, he is much better than fighters of the level of Zumbano Love, younger, less losses. I wouldn't say Seferi is the perfect opponent for Fury, but Fury's opposition here, could be worse.

Seferi is an old fighter (39), he does have a fair bit of general experience (24 fights), he has a very good record (23-1), and his record strongly suggests he can punch (88%), he is not a bum, and he should be a live opponent, he has 3 weeks as well, to train knowing he will fight Fury. I think in terms of levels, you can definitely question how good Seferi is, he may be used to winning, but 15 of his opponents have had losing records, around 30% some of them, more or less guys who just never win, he has never beaten an undefeated opponent (bar a fighter making his debut), so his opposition, has not been good at all, you could argue that his form is better because he his last 3 victories were against fighters with winning records, but you could also argue that it is still a poor level of competition because they all had at least 10 losses. Seferi may be a frustrated fighter, who (by no fault of his own) fights poor opponents because it is better than inactivity, and he can't get the opportunity to fight anyone better, which would say a lot about his motivation for this fight, but this is an assumption, we don't know, and what we do know is, for whatever reasons, Seferi has overall, fought very poor opponents, and he has very little experience at this level, he has no wins at nearly this level.
Seferi is also at a weight disadvantage, his Boxrec doesn't say his height, but he is shorter than Charr for sure, Charr is 6'3-4, even he isn't close to 6'9, so Seferi he is much, much shorter than Tyson Fury. Seferi is a two weight fighter, a very small heavyweight, 6 of his last 10 fights were at 200.

I think this, now, is exactly what Fury needs, a fight, and not against a fighter who is ridiculous easy to beat, nothing worse than inactivity in boxing, fighters must fight, either retire, or don't, Fury's boxing career has already lost two and a half years, he can't lose any more time. Fury is fighting again, getting his activity back, it is a good start. If Fury was to lose this fight, it is highly likely he would retire, I would be very shocked if he lost this fight. I don't think looking good in this fight is important for Fury, I think pushing himself, enduring minor struggles, building back up his ring stamina, going into territory he hasn't been in for a while, this is important, winning is obviously vital for his return, and not taking a beating is also very important, I think him taking a beating and/or losing, two things that are very unlikely. I don't think we can expect Fury to look as good as he did against Klitschko, because of the break, but because of the level of Seferi, we can definitely expect him to win comfortably, he has a chance of stopping Seferi, and being very dominant, there is a vast difference in levels and calibre, but a lot of this depends on Seferi as well, who we can't know too much about, we know about his age, size, lack of experience at any kind of level really, aside from Charr, who has he fought?, but we don't know exactly how hard he hits, how much he wants to pull out the upset.

I think theoretically, if Fury is to win this, and with some degree of ease, then the next fight for him, would be a shot at the WBA Regular, against Manuel Charr, because he is yhe only one to have beaten Seferi up until now, and because he beat him wide, it would be a clear step up, not too much too soon, but that would be the perfect fight for Fury. Unfortunately, the Charr fight won't happen this year, Charr vs Oquendo is happening late in September, which I think is ridiculous given Oquendo is 45 and has not fought since July 2014, meaning he is coming off a 4 year break, terrible. Fury should definitely aim for two fights this year, probably best to fight again in December, and target someone who is likely about as good as Charr, maybe Herve Hubeaux, Gerald Washington. I think Fury should have at least 3 fights before fighting Joshua, Wilder, of course, he doesn't necessarily choose when he fights them, but I think he should turn down any fight offers within the next year, and next year, but he also shouldn't go into a Joshua or Wilder fight coming off a tough, tough fight, so next year, if he got the shot at Charr for the WBA, or fought another opponent of that sort of level, that would be the best plan for him, but then again, he might decide to fight an opponent closer to the level of a Joshua before fighting him, so maybe he'll have 4 fights, not fight against the top guys until 2020.

Re: Jeff Horn vs Terence Crawford

Prediction,

I like this fight, I think it should be more hyped.
I think as of the results of 2017, Terence Crawford is the pound for pound best in most opinions, he has the dedication, and the talent, he has had a fantastic couple of years, he has a couple of outstanding victories, which were great performances, in 2016-17, against previously unbeaten fighters, who were both very highly rated, there are many candidates for the top spot on a pound for pound list, but Crawford may the one who has proved the most, has more wins as evidence for being the best boxer, than Lomachenko, Garcia, Spence.
Jeff Horn is underrated, he gets no credit, but he should, he's undefeated, and he beat Manny Pacquiao fair and square.
Horn may be the champion, the A-side, granted, he is, but he is the underdog, a huge underdog, and so he should be.

The bottom line is that these guys are both undefeated, they are the same age, and they will give the fight and the preparation for it, their best efforts, they will stop at nothing to win, they will try their 100% best to win, they both have great desire, by this logic, this fight is not at all a waste of anybody's time. There are a few ways this fight could go.

I would not be at all surprised if Crawford was able to make this about levels, dominate Horn from the outset, Horn is undefeated, a world champion, but so was Gamboa, so was Postol, so was Indongo, and he made these fights, a mismatch, a boxing lesson, and a demolition after his only career struggle for the first few rounds.

I think the wild card is the weight, it benefits Horn, the question is, how important will it be?
Moving up in weight is a big deal, and the difference between light welterweight, and welterweight, is underestimated, jumping up in weight too quickly is a bad idea, I think fighters, in their careers, should move up in weight, a maximum of twice, if at all.
Crawford is 5'8, just slightly shorter than Horn, and he was a tank of a lightweight, he also had a good few years at light welterweight, so he isn't skipping anything, it's not irrational for him to move up in weight, but this is his first fight at 147, he's fighting an unbeaten world champion, and a fighter who is big for the weight.
I think because Crawford hasn't rushed it, he is 5'8, not too short, and he will do the weight the right way, he can adapt well to 147, I think he will be strong at the weight, do well, it will take a fight or two for him to adjust, but I don't think the weight will be big fight factor against him, even in his 147 debut, having said that, it is impossible to be a former lightweight world champion, competing a welterweight world title bout, for the first time without having an obstacle to overcome.

Crawford is not a real welterweight, but that doesn't mean he can't do well at 147, especially considering just how successful he was at 140.

Crawford has still moved up in weight at a gradual pace, he is also taking his experience, boxing brain up to 147, he has a lot of power, and he's fighting a guy who has been hurt before in a few fights, and has been through more struggles in lower level fights, than Crawford himself has been through in higher level fights.

I think it is very possible that Crawford could put Horn away early, like he did against Indongo, this fight could be similar to Crawford vs Gamboa, but I think the weight will be very relevant, I think Horn makes the top 4 of Crawford's opponents, and considering the weight advantage, that Gamboa, Postol, Indongo didn't have, I think this will be Crawford's toughest fight so far.

Horn has a chance, he is much bigger than Crawford is, he's stronger, Crawford's speed and power will be compromised by the weight, Horn is a nightmare opponent, I think he will go the distance, push Crawford, but I think that ultimately, although weight, size matters, so does calibre, so do levels, and Crawford's ease at world level, compared to Horn's difficultly in his one real world level fight, suggests to me strongly, besides other evidence, that Crawford is too much better than Horn, has too much skill, and is such a higher calibre fighter, that Horn won't be able to manage the upset despite his size advantage.

I would say Horn would have maybe a 55% shot at winning, if Crawford had been at 130, 6 years ago, and was leaping straight up from 135, if he was doing an Adrien Broner, at 5'6, racing from 130 to 147 as a kid, still being Crawford, having the same level of talent and skill, I think Horn would win, but I think Crawford is big enough, and near enough to being a welterweight, that he can still win this comfortably.

To a degree, this might turn out like Mayweather vs Maidana did, I think from the opening bell, Horn will be aggressive, try to drag the smaller athlete into a dogfight, he'll make people eat their words even with a good start, and Crawford will have difficulty with the weight, but as the middle rounds go by, the difference in levels, will be apparent, and Crawford's skill will trump Horn's aggression and relentless pressure, he'll be able to sap a lot of steam out of Horn with body/head attacks, which he will make Horn walk into.

It is draining to fight at a high pace, straight after a move up in weight, and I think late in the fight, Crawford will fade a bit, I think Horn will be drained himself, and because of his inferior all round ability, he will have had to work harder, run a mile to have success Crawford could have had with less effort. I think Horn will be swinging for the fences late, and in the last quarter of the fight, he will need to put Crawford on the canvas, but he won't be able to do that.

Re: Mikey Garcia vs Robert Easter Jr

This is an awesome fight!

A unification bout is always great to see, and even more so when it is two undefeated world champions. There have been talks about this fight for so long, and it seemed likely when they won their titles, but for a while, it seemed to be a fight that wasn't to be, with Mikey Garcia fighting at 140, he seemed to be a champion in recess, especially when he was confirmed to fight for a world title at 140, it seemed possible he was going to vacate his 135lb, WBC title. Garcia looked good against Broner and Lipinets, especially against Broner, he can compete well at 140, but he did not hit as hard, did not have the speed, or the agility he had at 135, it is not his weight category, so Garcia, without doubt, made the right move, opting to defend his title at 135, and vacating his title at 140. I think as soon as Garcia confirmed he was staying at 135, this fight seemed likely, because both fighters have wanted to fight each other for a long time, Garcia has been talking about unification fights for a while, he had a frustrating time of trying to make a fight with then WBO 135lb champion, Terry Flanagan, he mentioned Easter at that point, and Easter as well, has had Garcia on his radar for a long time I believe, has always wanted that fight just as much as Garcia.

This is a great match up, Garcia is the favourite, he isn't as heavy a favourite inside the boxing world as people outside the boxing world would assume he is, but still, Easter is an underdog in this fight. I think Easter is probably particularly motivated to give this fight his 100% best because people doubt him, and expect him to lose.

Mikey is the favourite for a few reasons, for a start, he is a 4 weight world champion, he has the bigger name, for reasons, his brother Robert is known for being an exceptional trainer, former world champion himself, and he has been an established world level fighter for longer, dominated big names, built his name into the top 5 world rankings in many people's opinions, and been so impressive that he is considered by many to be the biggest threat there is to Vasyl Lomachenko, Easter however, still has to really sell himself as a fighter, earn his place as a top level fighter, because at the moment, he is still quite new to being really well known in the boxing world, and for the time he has been well known, he's won, and that's it, he has had two close calls with decision wins, two split decisions, and that makes you question whether he can beat a fighter who is a step up from the opponents he fought and beat by almost nothing. Garcia has been the more dominant fighter, and the fighter who often wins more emphatically, that's for sure. In past fights, Easter has seemed to have many more flaws than Garcia, has looked like a limited fighter, Garcia, always displays skills, always reminds you how high calibre a fighter he is.

Mikey Garcia is 38-0, Robert Easter Jr is 21-0, so Garcia is the much more experienced professional boxer. Garcia is 30, he's in his prime, but now is the time for him to be in the biggest fights of his career, because in a couple of years, he might not be in his prime anymore, Easter is 27, so he has maybe more career time ahead of him, but in terms of the here and the now, just this fight, he doesn't have the age advantage, I think both guys are in their primes, but Garcia is the more experienced.

Robert Easter has a size advantage, that is clear, he is 5'11, that is a giant of a lightweight, heck, 5'9 would be tall for 135. Garcia is 5'6, so he is far shorter than Easter, height matters in boxing, and to be 5 inches shorter than your opponent is a big disadvantage. Easter has a 76 inch reach, Garcia has a 68 inch reach, that's two thirds of a foot of extra reach, which is a massive amount more arm length to have than your opponent. Easter is a beast of a lightweight, 18 of his 21 fights have been at lightweight, he really is a big, consistent career 135lb fighter, he has never weighed in below 133, he has never weighed in as heavy as 137 either though, so weight wise, he has kept on track, been consistent. 3 of the 4 fights Garcia has had since his comeback from the layoff, have been at 140, but all that means really is that he fought weighing 140 on the scales, doesn't mean at all that that was the weight he should have been fighting at, it does mean he is more adapted to 140, but still, it doesn't change his natural size. More significantly, unlike Easter, Garcia is not a career lightweight, 5'6 is more of a featherweight's height, and Garcia, really, is a natural featherweight, he has only fought at 135 once in the past, as hard as that is to believe. Garcia had his first 30 fights weighing in between 123 and 131, most of his first 30 fights were at 126, Garcia then became a world champion at 126, I think after the Salido victory, Garcia had been building, growing, and he was too big for 126 at that stage, but after losing his title on the scales, he won and defended a world title at 130, but he only fought there twice, still though, it seemed like 130 was a good weight for him, after a few years, he fought at 135, seemed to have carried the extra weight well, done everything right, was big enough to still be great at 135, but he is not a big lightweight. I don't think Easter could ever have made 126, he would probably have had to have gone on an unnecessary, torturous weight cutting mission to make 130. Easter is substantially bigger than Garcia.

Neither of these fighters had brilliant amateur careers, both had good amateur careers, Garcia, fought Terence Crawford twice as an amateur, fought in a few tournaments, won a medal in the Golden Gloves tournament in 2005. Easter didn't make the Olympic team in 2012, but he came very close, he did compete in the Golden Gloves, won a bronze, in 2010, 2011, fought in 2012 in the USA Boxing National Championships, beat Mike Reed, he lost narrowly in the quarter final. Easter probably had the better amateur career of the two, but you might expect that, given that Garcia turned professional at 18, Easter, at 21.

Outside of being dropped by Roman Martinez, in a fight he dominated besides the knockdown, I've never seen Garcia in real trouble, he's never been in a close fight, he doesn't often do what Crawford, Lomachenko do, win every single round and just dominate every minute, beat the opponent to a pulp and still box technically very well, every round, most minutes, but he is still a dominant fighter, he has looked under challenged in his career, dominated good world level fighters. Even though he didn't do a Lomachenko on Broner, Mikey Garcia still moved up to 140, absolutely not his weight, fought Broner, a fighter of a similar natural size, but with much more experience and familiarity at the weight, and not only did he beat a motivated, confident, 28 year old Broner, but him beat him more convincingly, by what seemed like it should have been a wide margin (although the judges did not say it was a landslide), it seemed to us like it was more one sided than the wins Marcos Maidana and Shawn Porter scored over Broner, at 147, their weight categories, a weight which Broner, by his own standards, is not great at.
Out of the 4 fights he has had since his promotional dispite related break, Mikey Garcia boxed and fought the best, no question, when he beat Dejan Zlaticanan, when he has at 135, he is noticeably stronger, faster, more dangerous than he is at 140. Against Zlaticanan, a then undefeated world champion who had beaten Ricky Burns and Ivan Redkach, Garcia will brilliant, boxed well, looked sharp for a few minutes, and then he set up, timed Zlaticanan perfectly, made him vulnerable, and knocked him out cold, it was a demolition, massive statement, displayed his power, and his ability to set his opponent up. At 135, Garcia is a very dangerous fighter.

Easter only just about beat Commey and Fortuna, he was dropped against Commey, struggled in both fights, and when you compare him to Garcia, based on how convincing his wins are, given that Mikey has never lost 5 rounds, rarely lost 4 in 38 fights, nevermind an SD, and Easter has had 2 SD wins, there is no comparison as to which one of them seems to be winning at their ultimate level, and which one has more to accomplish at a higher level. Easter wins, doesn't always look good, but he wins. Easter doesn't always struggle like he did against Commey and Fortuna, he dominated Luiz Cruz, won very wide, in his first title defence, stopped Argenis Mendez, just before he became a world champion. Easter is ultimately, an undefeated fighter who has won a world title, defended it 3 times, he has to be good, and it is highly likely that because this is probably the biggest fight of his career, because it is a challenge, a unification fight, the chance to have two titles, he will probably rise to the occasion, have a better fighter brought out of him. One thing I have learned from following boxing, is never to underestimate an undefeated world champion, and Easter is an undefeated world champion just as Garcia is, this is a real fight, between two champions, neither guy is there just to make up the numbers.

Both fighters have very good jabs, they've shown that in fights, especially Garcia, but in this fight of course, Garcia is at a 20cm reach disadvantage, I have found out from BoxRec, that since 2012, Garcia hasn't fought any fighter with more than a 5cm reach advantage over him, Rojas has a 70 inch reach, longest arms of a Garcia opponent at least since 2012, and that is a quarter of the amount of difference between Garcia's reach and Easter's. At distance, if they compete in the battle of the jabs, Garcia will struggle to get the best of it, if it is just about firing off with the single jab, standing off, and having the more successful jab, it is very, very difficult when you are at as much of a reach disadvantage as Garcia is at. Easter has a very good jab, he doesn't use it enough in my opinion, because at times, not for a big part of the duration of the fight, but at times, he seemed to not only successfully point score, but stop Commey in his tracks, and he doesn't over reach, he can land the jab at mid range, can land the jab at different ranges. Mikey Garcia has one of the best jabs in boxing, against Broner, against Lipinets, he used it so well, it might have been the biggest difference against Lipinets, when the Russian would attack, do everything right, was aggressive, at a size advantage, but Garcia landing combinations which were set up by the jab, he made it look simple, and at times, for him, it was, and against Broner, when Broner was throwing the 1, 2, with more hand speed than Garcia, Garcia was able to out time Broner with the jab, and land it with such accuracy, force, he was able to blast the jab through Broner's defence at times. I think Mikey Garcia showed a great working jab against Adrien Broner, most of the power shots he threw were set up by the jab, it sounds simple, and not a big deal, and it is fundamental, but it only seems easy, looks quite easy because masterful boxers like Mikey Garcia make it look easy.

I think both fighters have good footwork, good movement.
Garcia has good head movement, good blocking abilities as well, much better than Easter, I think Easter is a good defensive fighter, he doesn't go back in straight lines, he is very hard to hit when you try to make him pay for throwing his own punches, and he keeps you out of range with his reach when you try to engage with him, but Garcia, against Broner, nothing wasteful, just consistent, solid head movement, always just slightly moving his head, and ready to slip, roll whenever a punch came towards him, and his guard as well, he was always able to use his gloves to block punches coming from different angles, consistently, and he does it so well, that fighters with speed, good offensive attributes, can't hit him clean at all. I think both Garcia and Easter are good defensive fighters, but the difference really, I think is the consistency, Garcia does what he does in fights, makes it look easy, because he can stick to a game plan, stay switched on and focused for 3 minutes a round, Easter often tends to show bits of really good ability, defends well, lands the jab, and digs in some power shots in the follow up, with accuracy, but he makes a lot of mistakes, has some weaknesses as well which means his success isn't always enough for him to get that clear lead in the fight.

I think offensively, also, Easter, and Garcia, both with good jabs, both able to attack well, both offensively really good, but Garcia, a fighter who gets into that rhythm and sustains it, has a good, consistent work ethic, Easter, again, just not always able to put a good round in, then another, then another, because of his inconsistency, flaws, but he does show he has ability to box well, fight well, he just makes so many mistakes.

I don't think Robert Easter is nearly as good an all round boxer as Mikey Garcia, I don't think he can control fights, get to opponents, nullify opponents like Garcia can. Against Fortuna, Easter faced an opponent who could throw at angles, hit him centre ring, and Easter looked like he didn't know what to do, and he couldn't cut the ring off well, couldn't time his attacks, at times, he was following Fortuna around the ring. I think in terms of tactics, strategy, Garcia is the much more complex fighter, has more ideas, is better at understanding how to make it go against his opponent, and in terms of not giving the opponent openings, without letting his own offence go down the drain, Garcia is able to do that, Easter, I don't think so. I think in terms of awareness, anticipation, and of course, experience, Garcia is just on a whole different level to Easter, a level above, and I think he is far too good for Easter to have the beating of.

Garcia is a 12 round fighter, even at 140, he fought Broner at a controlled but consistent pace, and in rounds 11 and 12, he had great rounds, raised his output, against Lipinets as well, even though it wasn't an easy fight for him, he sustained his mobility, and was able to win probably the last 3 rounds of that fight clearly, so Garcia, a 12 round fighter, a fighter who has great stamina, even at a weight which is too high for him really, he still able to sustain it with no real trouble. Easter, against Luis Cruz, showed a 12 round ability, dropped him in the late rounds, but when he faced an opponent who was capable of pushing him harder than being able to win a maximum of 3 rounds, when he faced Commey, Shafikov, Fortuna, he did tire, did struggle for stamina. Against Shafikov, after 8 rounds, Easter was ahead probably 6-2, maybe even wider, but in rounds 9 and 10, even though he was still doing the better work, he did slow down noticeably, he looked very tired, and in the last 2 rounds, he lost them, because of his inability to put the work in, he didn't produce the output, he was mobile, but when he was on the ropes, he was there to be hit, he was overpowered by the smaller man, and in the later parts of the round, his feet slowed down. Easter, against Fortuna, used his size well in rounds 7-9, used his reach, and he found it easier to walk Fortuna down than in the early rounds, but in rounds 10-12, the smaller fighter, not a fighter who was behind and needed them more, but still, the fighter who probably got the best of the last quarter of the fight, Easter lost the last round, didn't rally, didn't seem to be strong for the finishing minutes of the fight. Against Commey, Easter was winning, doing well, for 7 rounds, he was boxing nicely, using his jab, moving, was an awkward target to catch clean, but in rounds 8-11, he really faded, got dropped, hurt, and because he tired, and Commey was able to swing the momentum his way, Easter ended up only just about winning that fight, by a very tight split decision.

Both fighters have to be wary of each other.
Garcia can't expect the same Easter as we saw against Fortuna, because he is likely to be much better for this fight.
Easter can't expect Garcia to be as fast in hand and foot, as passive, and as powerful as he was against Lipinets and Broner, because at 135, Garcia has all those attributes, but is stronger in all those aspects.

The winner of this fight, I think sets himself up as Lomachenko's real rival, biggest threat, and really helps build up that fight, I think it would be great if Lomachenko would fight for the WBO title this year, that way next year, the two 135lb champions can fight, with all 4 belts on the line, 2 each, and the winner, is THE lightweight champion of the world, takes over the division, like Crawford did at 140. Lomachenko vs the winner of this fight would be the biggest fight that could be made in boxing, in my opinion, after Joshua vs Wilder and Crawford vs Spence.

I think Mikey Garcia will beat Robert Easter, he'll dominate, and he'll get the stoppage.

Re: Joseph Parker vs Dillian Whyte

I was very surprised to see this fight confirmed.

In the weeks before the confirmation, Whyte was in talks about fighting Pulev, Ortiz, Parker was considering fighting Ustinov I believe.

The reason why this fight was never known as close to done, in the works, but just finalised out of nowhere, is because Parker and his team are very reasonable, they are very easy to do business with, very easy to make a fight with, they don't make demands, they are willing to compromise, and most fighters and their handlers aren't so tolerant, which is why there were roadblocks in the way of Whyte vs Ortiz, Whyte vs Pulev, because the teams couldn't agree on everything, and each might have thought the other was holding up the fight, and sometimes, the negotiations become a waste of time, and the fight doesn't happen afterall, because the teams can't reason with each other, and in the end, unfortunately, there is no fight, but Parker and his team, great guys, not stubborn, realistic people, and recently, Kevin Barry confirmed that the whole fight deal, all the negotiations, everything, done and dusted in 3 days, which says a lot.

Whyte is an idiot, he has a big mouth, he is very critical of opponents, doesn't give other people credit, he has been trash talking Parker for years, he has been calling out Parker for years.

Parker is someone I look up to as a sportsman, he has done very well with his career, achieved a lot, won a world title, and when a clown like Whyte runs his mouth, it is hard not to tell him to shut his trap, but Parker has always told Whyte that he will fight him when he doesn't already have a fight confirmed.

Even with Whyte's stupidity, disrespect, unsportsmanlike character, he has to give Parker at least some credit, because Parker didn't have to take this fight, travel, have anything to do with Whyte, and Whyte, I think must be relieved that someone has agreed to fight him. I think Whyte didn't think Parker wanted to fight him, and wouldn't keep his word, but when Parker told him he would fight him, told him to his face that the fight would happen, he was not lying.

I think this is a calm, controlled punishment plan from Parker, it might not be, but I think Parker and his team, have had enough of Whyte, think he is a bit of a....., and want to teach him a lesson, show the world he is better than Whyte. Whyte has said, "Parker is not that good, he lost to Ruiz, he lost to Takam", I believe he also said he lost to Fury. There is no way Parker lost to Takam, Whyte is a bully, and I think people like him are bad for the sport.

This is a very interesting fight indeed.
Whyte is 30, Parker is 26, there is more time pressure on Whyte than Parker, but Whyte, not old at all, especially for a heavyweight.

You would assume the 4 year older fighter would be more experienced, would have more fights to his name, but that isn't the case, Parker has had a fight more than Whyte has had. Whyte turned pro earlier than Parker did, but Parker has been more active over the last 6-7 years, and most significantly I think, Whyte, being punished with a bad back in 2012, when he was 9-0, having failed a drug test, he did not fight for 2 years, a long layoff. Whyte does not have more professional experience than Parker does.

Parker had the much longer, and the better amateur career.
Whyte beat Anthony Joshua in his first amateur bout, but after 6 fights, he stopped boxing as an amateur, that is a short career.
Parker had 66 amateur bouts, 60 more than Whyte. Parker fought Tony Yoka, Filip Hrgovic, Zhang Zhilei as an amateur, lost to all of them, but Parker, fighting in world tournaments, and competing at a high level for a lot of his amateur boxing career.

Parker and Whyte are the same height, both 6'4, not tall heavyweights, but not short for the weight either.

Whyte has a reach advantage, not a big difference, but 2 inches, a significant reach advantage.

Both Parker and Whyte have been active in the last year, Whyte has had 3 fights, gone 12 rounds once, Parker has been 12 rounds twice. There should be no ring rust on either side.

In terms of momentum, Whyte should have the upper hand, he is coming off a dominant, explosive win, a real statement, Parker is comimg off a loss. In terms of mentality, and who might be in a better place, that might be Whyte, Parker is coming straight off a loss, 4 months earlier than this fight, no confidence boost fights, no easier fights, not a fight to get him back to winning ways, not before this fight anyway. There is reason to question Parker's mentality, there is no reason to question Whyte's mentality, he'll be right at home at the O2, and the Browne win must have put him in mentally the best place he has ever been in.

In Parker's last fight, he weighed in at 236.5, in Whyte's last fight, he weighed in at 254, so Parker, weighing 17-18lbs less than Whyte. In theory, two guys who are the same height, but don't weigh in at the same weight, are likely to be a similar natural size, but they do the weight differently. I think the weight benefits Whyte, early, because he is heavier, and a lot of it is muscle, he is probably stronger, than Parker, and early, that should mean he can bully him a bit, overpower him. I think late, the weight benefits Parker, because for stamina, long distance, you want to be light, the lighter you are, the less extra weight you are carrying, the more punches you can throw, the more gas you have in the tank. I think Parker will be maybe 235 for this fight, Whyte, maybe 250.

I think in this fight, Whyte's game plan should be more about what he can do in the first half, for Parker, I think it will be more about the second half. I think in terms of stamina, athleticism, Parker is better than Whyte, I think Whyte tires late in fights, he always carries some flesh, against AJ, he wasn't conditioned for 12 rounds, his stamina and conditioning has improved a lot since that fight, but I still don't think his fitness and stamina is great, whereas Parker, against Ruiz, Fury, Joshua, he proved to have great stamina, he finished strong against Fury, he was fresh at the end of the Joshua fight, he seemed frustrated, quite clearly beaten, but not tired.

I think in terms of footwork, there is no comparison, Parker showed good mobility against AJ, he was light on his feet, Whyte, I think is poor footwork wise.

In terms of the jab, I think it is interesting, I think both guys have good jabs, I don't see a reaspn on either side to suggest either has a superior jab, you might lean towards Whyte because he has the reach advantage.

For defence, I think it is interesting, I don't think either are great defensive fighters at world level, I think Parker might have the edge, I've seen a slight improvement in his defence in his last couple of fights, slightly more so than Whyte, who has also improved his defence slightly, not as much though, I don't think, but I could be wrong.

Whyte took a massive amount of damage against Joshua and Chisora, more so than Parker has in any of his fights, but I don't see that being exploited in this fight, at 30, and with it not being too many of those really toll taking fights, still, it is miles on the clock.

I think Whyte and Parker both have great variety, both are good at attacking head and body, mixing it up with combinations, and I'm very interested to see them fighting in out, and see who is the better of the two. I do think Whyteis the more offensively versatile, but I don't know if he is the overall better offensive fighter.

I think Parker has the faster hands.

I think it is hard to say who is the better overall technical fighter, but I think Parker is.

I think Parker has more ability in terms of boxing and fighting going backwards, I think he does that better than Whyte does, I think there is usually more lateral movement from him than there is from Whyte.

Neither of these guys often win with faultless performances, I think both make mistakes, Parker, I think can just be caught having fallen off his game, when he isn't throwing punches, when he struggles to find the opening to throw a shot, he just struggles whilst he's thinking offensively, and is viable to getting caught. I think Whyte is harder to hit than Whyte when not pulling the trigger, but when Whyte does pull the trigger, takes a chance, he is more open, he is easier to counter, he can give you a bigger opening with his wider punches more unorthodox style of letting shots go.

Both these guys have granite chins, Parker has never been down in any of his 91 boxing fights, Whyte, as far as I know, hasn't been down outside of the Joshua fight, and in the opening round of that fight, he took a pummelling, full force, flush, knockout punches, and he soaked it up, he soaked up all the punishment from Joshua for 6 rounds, some chin he showed in that fight.

I think Parker is better than Whyte, and I think he will win this fight, I hope I'm right. I'm 60% sure Parker wins, but I think Whyte might be the favourite.

Re: Oleksandr Usyk vs Murat Gassiev

One of the most significant, important fights of the year! Eastern Europeans, great athletes, professionals, they don't get the recognition they deserve, they don't do anything stupud outside the ring and try to be 'entertaining', they don't use stupid social media to enhance their reputations, and for some reason, there is never the sense of buzz and excitement from the fans when these guys fight that there is when more well known fighters fight. Many people don't know how Usyk, Gassiev are, they are not household names, but they are fighting for all 4 of the world title belts in their division, the winner of this fight, is not only a cruiserweight world champion, but the cruiserweight world champion. This is a massive fight! I'm very much looking forward to seeing it.

This is a very interesting fight.

Usyk, 31, as good as he will ever be, right in his prime, phenomenal amateur, beat Artur Beterbiev twice, beat Joe Joyce, was a 2008 and 2012 Olympian, and because of his discipline, and his success, he is one of these guys who has been boosted before he even turns pro, and in 10-15 fights, he peaks, learns very quickly, constructs himself as a fighter in a couple of very productive years, and even when he maybe still has a bit to learn, he makes a big statement, has world level success after less than 10 fights, as Usyk did against Glowacki.

Gassiev, 24, learning quickly, boxing and fighting with maturity beyond his years, not a good amateur career, definitely not a long amateur career, turned pro at 17, went straight into the deep end as regards to transitioning from amateur to professional, and has learned on the job. Gassiev, wisely taking his time, more or less unkown at 23-0, 22, but having competed at inter-continental level, he steps up, gets a meaningful win, enters a tournament of 8 fighters, and makes two explosive statements im victory, makes the final, one of them, a mismatch, the other, a fight in which he was technically tested, had to take a shot, and wasn't necessarily winning after 5 or 6 rounds, but adapting, doing the rounds, getting stronger, and stopping his opponent in the final round.

These two are different, they have taken different roads to success, but they are both where they are now, and they are same in that they both have 50% of the world 200lb titles, they are both unbeaten, and they are both aiming to prove they are the best cruiserweight in the world.

Gassiev is only 24, he will probably improve a lot if he keeps doing what he is doing, and if he does, in 2020-23, I definitely think he could be a top 10 world fighter, but at this point, he is still learning, still making mistakes im the ring. Usyk is 31, he's not old, he's a fresh, motivated fighter at the peak of his career, but it is now or never for him, I don't think he has that many fights ahead of him, but for the next 2 or 3 years, he could take over the cruiserweight division. If anyone has the age advantage, I think it is Usyk, because I think a 31 year old, who has the hunger of a young fighter, is a big guy, doesn't have to worry about declining just yet, but he's reached his peak, and a fighter at Gassiev's age, can find they don't have the maturity of a fighter who has had the chance to develop into the best of their potential.

Gassiev has had nearly double the fights Usyk has had, Gassiev turned pro in 2011, Usyk, in 2013, it sounds crazy to even mention experience as an issue for Gassiev, relative to Usyk, but in terms of who took the better amateur experience into their professional career, there is no comparison, and that does make a real difference, and what is interesting, is that both these guys have 2 or 3 really good, solid, career defining wins, and both had their first world title fight, first big win, in 2016, it was actually Usyk who beat Glowacki a few months before Gassiev beat Lebedev, before that point, neither had fought anybody at world level, so Usyk has been at world level every bit as long as Gassiev, as well as being older, probably having more sheer contact/non-contact boxing experience, and having the much better amateur background. You could still argue, that amateur boxing is not professional boxing, and Gassiev having had 12 fights more than Usyk, is more important than the other experience aspects given that he has two big wins, only one less, if that, than Huck, so in terms of meaningful wins, Usyk's resume doesn't compensate for Gassiev's extra 2 years, extra 12 fights as a professional.

These are both quite big cruiserweights, tall enough to build up to heavyweight, at 6'3, Usyk, and Gassiev, between 6'3 and 6'4. Usyk has a two inch reach advantage. Both these guys have been at cruiserweight for most of their careers, Usyk has fought at 206 once, 200-201 a few times, Gassiev has fought at 207 once, fought at 200-201 once, Usyk has been between 198 and 200 since 2014, Gassiev has been down to 190, but he as well, since 2014, hasn't been below 197. I think the reason Gassiev has fought lighter than Usyk at times in the past, is because he turned pro at 17, and Usyk, at 25. I don't think there is much of a size advantage either way in this fight, I think physical strength might be on Usyk's side just very slightly, but they are basically the same size I think.

I don't think Gassiev or Usyk are absolute top draw defensive fighters, I think Usyk has more of a defensive skilset, and Gassiev is a more defensively consistent fighter.

I think Gassiev, because of his controlled pressuring style, always making the other guys work but trying to be patient when he's trying to find a good opening, it is hard for him to move his head, and although he has good, solid blocking ability, when he commits, walks forward, and doesn't manage to get off first, he sometimes struggles to get the best of the exchange, and because he isn't the most illusive, because he's always aggressive, often commits as he comes forward, he isn't the hardest opponent to land a combination against.

In centre ring, Usyk is great offensively and defensively, he is great at using the pivot, making his opponent throw at a non-existent target, that is a quality move. You can see the pedigree of Usyk when he fights, but what I notice is, when he gets backed up the ropes, he is flawed, he doesn't punch off the ropes, which is something a Crawford, Lomachencko does, something a Mayweather did exceptionally well. Usyk, when going backwards to the ropes, often looks sloppy with his blocking ability, and there is a lack of head movement from him, this might be part of him not being so experienced as a professional, but definitely, as we saw against Briedis, and have seen against a fee other opponents, when Usyk is going backwards to the ropes, you can hit him.

Both Gassiev and Usyk are absolutely tremendous offensive fighters.

Usyk sets his work up, often, off that working jab, it is a point scorer, but it is solid, it is sharp, it's tiring to take, he can land a triple jab, sink in what looks like a fourth down to the body and rotate it into a hook, he can land the left, right, any shot, clean, at close range, at distance, he is a very versatile offensive fighter, Usyk. Usyk's ring positioning is brilliant, he can have an opponent moving to the side, creating, or cutting the distance, but he doesn't lose positioning, if an opponent tries to make him over reach with a long punch, by closingthe gap, he can adjust in a split second, and just shorten the punch, and vise verse, because when a fighter tries to back up, make him fall short with a short hook or uppercut, he can adapt so quickly, and extend the shot and find the target as his opponent tries to make him miss.

Gassiev, when he gets off first, is brilliant offensively, every shot he lands is heavy, he's a pressure fighter, and when he lands, he can land a couple of follow ups as his opponent becomes static, because that's what Gassiev does, he makes you work, he attacks body and head, and when he can get into range, when he has his opponent where he wants him, he is so dangerous, because Gassiev has good stamina, he wastes absolutely nothing, he is so strong and imposing, and you almost can't prepare for what he is going to throw, he van slow you down with a body shot, tee off with an uppercut as you go back and he follows you, or a hook, whatever the shot is, Gassiev makes you work, he weakens you, and then he punishes. Gassiev's ability to attack the body is enough to destroy any opponent, the shot he dropped Lebedev with, that was absolutely brilliant, landed so clean, landed when Lebedev was most vulnerable to it, it is just a shot which tortures the opponent, knocks oxygen out of them, incapacitates them, and a fighter who can land a perfect body shot like that, is a spectacular fighter.

I think both these guys are really great, proven world level fighters, it isn't easy to argue that they are the top two in the division, each have two world titles. Before Gassiev beat Lebedev, when he was 22, 22-0, you could have questioned who he'd fought, suggested he wasn't great, because he had never been at a high level, and Usyk, when he was I think 8-0, before he fought Glowacki, you could have argued that he was only proven as an amateur, and a world level amateur is a guaranteed world level professional, but when Gassiev beat Lebedev, he proved himself at world level, he's sustained it, beat Dorticos, made the final of the tournament, and proven himself as a great fighter of this era, and the same for Usyk, he proved himself at world level when he beat Glowacki, and in beating Huck, Briedis, he has proven himself as a great fighter of this era.

This is an absolute 50/50 fight!
I'm struggling to make a prediction!

I'm going to lean towards Usyk, I'm talking 51/49, paper thin edge, but I'm just leaning towards Usyk.

Re: Gennady Golovkin vs Saul Alvarez II

Didn't think this was going to happen, after the way it fell apart earlier this year, it seemed like it wasn't going to be rearranged, because of the way it was called off, but it's on again, with the amount of money, and all there is to gain for their pride, their careers, their legacies.

It is good that the fight has been rescheduled, it is still a big fight, it isn't what it was, but still, all boxing fans are looking forward to this fight, we will not miss it.
Saul Alvarez is 100% at fault for the issues, the disputes, has Golovkin disrespected him? Does Alvarez think he deserves any respect now?, Golovkin is not the skumbag who has failed at least one drug test, that's Alvarez, the same prize possession of shifty businessman Oscar De La Hoya, same cash cow who has had ridiculous favours his whole career, judges in his pocket fight after fight.

Everyone out there, who isn't a loyall Mexican, is almost certainly hoping Golovkin knocks Clenelo out, because Golovkin is 100% blameless, he has done nothing wrong, and Alvarez is a proven drug cheat, a terrible sportsman, and he is coming across as a very sensitive thug, when he gets nasty with a guy he should be apologising to, and should be thankful isn't suing him. Clenelo might not like Golovkin saying what everyone else is saying, but it is pathetic, disgusting for that lowlife to get aggressive, start trash talking Golovkin. If it were up to me, Alvarez would be fined 10,000,000 peso, put on a final warning that his career is over if he fails another test, and for the sake of his career, he has to pay for year long, fortnightly drug tests.

This is still a 50/50 fight, it is still a very meaningful, very significant fight, a rematch which you could argue is very necessary because the first fight was a draw, and a fight between two fighters who are still ranked in the top 10 by most people I think, they are definitely both still highly ranked.

I absolutely think Golovkin is good enough to beat Alvarez, I thought he did enough to win the first fight, he was the much better amateur, he has been the more dominant professional, but he isn't the more experienced professional, he hasn't been in against more great fighters, and most of all, most relevant to this fight, the difference in this fight in my opinion, age.
Golovkin is 37, Alvarez is 28, over the past year, after a draw, 35-36 is not a good year to age, you are just getting worse, slowly but surely, you are losing speed, needing more recovery time, losing sustainability, losing agility, and also, it is the time when you are declining, and might not be used to boxing as an old fighter, although I think Golovkin is a realist, understands full well that at his age, he is declining, which does make a difference. Unfortunately, 27-28, I think is a great year to age, because you are very unlikely to decline at all, but you are going to be more experienced, and at the very worse, as good as last time (age wise at least), if anything, slightly better.

The first fight was a draw, they can both make adjustments, they can both correct mistakes they made the first time, but I think the biggest difference, the decisive aspect, in my opinion, has to be the age advantage for Alvarez, and that is why I think he will win this.

After a fight which is easy, which the fighter doesn't get hit in, I don't think a 36 year old is much older, much slower than he was when he was 35, but in boxing, it is damage which ages fighters, and Golovkin took some massive punches in the first Alvarez fight, sure he soaked them up, wasn't hurt, took them well, but that doesn't at all he wasn't taking damage, gathering miles on the clock, and granted, it was tit for tat, close fight, he landed some big shots on Alvarez as well, hit Alvarez with more punches, they both went through a toll taking ordeal in the fight, but a certain amount of punishment on a 27 year old, is not going to age him like it could age a 35 year old, when you are old, and you get hit clean with some shots, it puts miles on the clock which are going to add up and age you, it might speed up your decline, and in your next fight, you find the fight took a lot out of you, but when you are young, it is more likely not to age you, straight away, but just be damage which will mean you have more miles, decline faster when you do get older. I think the damage that Golovkin took in the first fight is more likely to be a problem for him in this fight than the damage that Alvarez took in the fight.

Age, in my opinion, is the difference, but, it might not be that simple, I could be wrong.

Golovkin didn't take a sustained beating from Alvarez, he didn't take very many big punches, just a fair few isolated hayemakers. You could argue that Golovkin has had a mostly easy career, 36 is an age which is getting younger and younger as time goes on, Mayweather was this age when he boxed Alvarez's head off. If Golovkin has simply taken a small enough amount of damage, and is still declining very slowly, then maybe there won't be a significant amount of damage, certain number of miles which he is carrying from the first fight into the second fight, and if that is the case, he might still have that granite chin, strong, sturdy punch resistance, and Alvarez might still be unable to hurt him. If Golovkin is declining slowly enough, the time when his recovery let's him down, when he is very slow, when he is not agile at all, if Golovkin is still declining slowly, then that time when he looks old in the ring, could be several years away, because 36 is not that old, and it is getting younger as times move forward.

Alvarez will be coming off a year out, no more, but no less than a whole year, that's a significant amount of inactivity, Golovkin will be coming off an equal amount of time without going past 2 rounds, which isn't great, but he has fought in the year between Alvarez fights, against Martirosyan, it was over in 2 rounds, it lasted 1-2 rounds, it was a short fight, but Golovkin fought an experienced, awkward fighter who had never been stopped before, the first round was close, Golovkin had to think a bit, and in round 2, he used his jab, and followed it up with brilliant, accurate power shots. Activity is on Golovkin's side.

As is the case with all rematches, the fighter who proves to the better at making adjustments, both can improve from the first fight, both will have learned, I have no idea who is the better at making adjustments, Abel Sanchez being a better trainer than the Reynoso's might be very important, but although Sanchez has more good fighters, the Reynoso's, in their own rights, are good trainers as well, they might be as good as Sanchez, trainers will be a factor, but making adjustments, adapting, correcting mistakes, a lot of it is of course down to the fighters.

Alvarez failed a drug test, he has been cheating, but what we don't know is how much of an advantage it gave him in the first fight, because if it was a big help to him getting the draw, that's something he will be without this time, maybe he will get taught a lesson about what can happen to skumbags who use drugs to cheat in a combat sport and put innocent opponents at a greater level of risk. It would be brilliant to see Golovkin stop Alvarez!

I think although there is an argument Golovkin has a very good chance (and he is only a slight underdog I think), I think because Alvarez has the scientific advantage, has age on his side, has reason to be less damaged by punches from the first fight, isn't declining while Golovkin is (evn slowly), and also, less importantly, this time, his size disadvantage, struggle with keeping up the pace, will be less of an issue, because he will be more adjusted to doing 12 rounds under pressure than he was the first time, the first is always the most difficult when it comes to unfamiliar territory, and last time, granted, it was the second time Alvarez had done 12 above 155, not the first, but against Chavez, he was at 164, which is a valid point if you arguing against this viewpoint, but Chavez wasn't in the fight, had no success, was on his feet for 36 minutes, moved, was focused, tried at times, a little bit, but that's it, wasn't good enough, and really, because there was no pressure from Chavez, no pace control, no aggression, Alvarez was able to control the pace, be consistent for 12 rounds, and he did struggle for pace even then in the second half, having jumped up 9lbs, but against Golovkin, he was still 5lbs and fighting a guy 5lbs heavier than in all the fights apart from the Chavez fight, and in that fight, and he was fighting under far, far more pressure than against Chavez, in fact, he was fighting under more pressure than he ever had fought under, and in the rematch, he has done it, he has already been at 160, ed for 12 rounds by Golovkin, rest wise, a year has to have been enough, and now, fighting Golovkin at 160, doing the rounds under pressure from Golovkin, it won't be unfamiliar territory anymore, so the weight disadvantage if there is one really, won't be as much as it was the first time.

I think Alvarez will win the fight, I would like to be wrong, because Alvarez is a skumbag, and Golovkin is a top man, but I think Alvarez will win.